Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 27/09, 22:00

Prediction: Dynamo Puerto FC vs Bolivar SC

Team pages: Dynamo Puerto FC · Bolivar SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Dynamo Puerto FC1.11

Bolivar SC1.11

1X2

35% 31% 35%

Dynamo Puerto FC Draw Bolivar SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Dynamo Puerto FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWLLLD

Bolivar SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Dynamo Puerto FC 3–3 Bolivar SC (6 last)

Bolivar SC1-2Dynamo Puerto FC
Bolivar SC1-0Dynamo Puerto FC
Dynamo Puerto FC1-0Bolivar SC
Bolivar SC1-0Dynamo Puerto FC
Bolivar SC1-0Dynamo Puerto FC
Dynamo Puerto FC3-0Bolivar SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dynamo Puerto FC 1425 · Bolivar SC 1485

	Dynamo Puerto FC	Draw	Bolivar SC
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar SC (rating 1425 vs 1485).
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dynamo Puerto FC	Bolivar SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:25 +25’	2.55	3.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dynamo Puerto FC 3–0–3 Bolivar SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/08/26 Venezuela Cup	Bolivar SC	1-2 HT 1-1	Dynamo Puerto FC
09/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Dynamo Puerto FC
10/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Dynamo Puerto FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Bolivar SC
15/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	1-0 HT 1-0	Dynamo Puerto FC
27/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	1-0 HT 0-0	Dynamo Puerto FC
16/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Dynamo Puerto FC	3-0 HT 3-0	Bolivar SC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	22	12	6	4	37	23	42
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	23	12	5	6	30	18	41
3	Bolivar SC	23	11	4	8	28	26	37
4	Aragua	23	9	9	5	25	17	36
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	22	6	8	8	23	24	26
6	Mineros	23	4	9	10	25	29	21
7	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	20	5	5	10	16	31	20
8	Atletico Avila	22	2	10	10	12	28	16

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dynamo Puerto FC	Bolivar SC
Mineros	0-0 D	1-4 L
Monagas II	1-2 L	3-2 W
Aragua	0-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Miranda FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Atletico Avila	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bolivar SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dynamo Puerto FC

LLDDLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
13/09	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-2	7	4	L
29/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
23/08	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	1-3	4	7	L
16/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	4	8	W
09/08	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
02/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/07	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	5	9	D
06/06	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	1	9	L
31/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	8	L

Bolivar SC

DWLLWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/09	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	1-4	3	6	L
06/09	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
30/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
16/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	3-2	4	6	W
09/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
01/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
26/07	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
06/06	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
31/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dynamo Puerto FC vs Bolivar SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dynamo Puerto FC win (35%). Probabilities: Dynamo Puerto FC 35%, draw 31%, Bolivar SC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Dynamo Puerto FC vs Bolivar SC?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Dynamo Puerto FC 1.11 · Bolivar SC 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Puerto FC vs Bolivar SC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.