Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 20/09, 21:30

Prediction: Urena SC vs Zamora II

Team pages: Urena SC · Zamora II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Urena SC1.63

Zamora II1.09

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Urena SC Draw Zamora II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Urena SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDDLLLWW

Zamora II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Urena SC 2–1–2 Zamora II (5 last)

Zamora II2-2Urena SC
Urena SC0-2Zamora II
Zamora II1-2Urena SC
Urena SC3-4Zamora II
Urena SC2-0Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Urena SC 1496 · Zamora II 1473

	Urena SC	Draw	Zamora II
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Urena SC	Zamora II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.7	5.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.30

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +3’	1.85	3.30	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Urena SC 2–1–2 Zamora II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	2-2 HT 2-1	Urena SC
03/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	0-2 HT 0-1	Zamora II
08/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	1-2 HT 0-1	Urena SC
27/08/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	3-4 HT 1-3	Zamora II
21/05/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	27	18	6	3	46	20	60
2	Barquisimeto	26	13	8	5	45	27	47
3	Urena SC	26	12	9	5	41	28	45
4	Yaracuyanos	26	10	7	9	31	27	37
5	Zamora II	25	9	7	9	37	35	34
6	Academia Puerto Cabello II	26	8	6	12	33	36	30
7	Atletico El Vigia	26	8	6	12	28	43	30
8	Atletico Barinas	26	8	4	14	45	55	28
9	Real Frontera	26	3	3	20	21	56	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Urena SC	Zamora II
Academia Puerto Cabello II	3-2 W	3-0 W
Real Frontera	1-0 W	2-0 W
CD Lara	0-1 L	0-2 L
Yaracuyanos	3-4 L	1-2 L
Atletico El Vigia	0-1 L	0-2 L
Atletico Barinas	1-1 D	3-2 W
Barquisimeto	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Urena SC

WWDDDLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	3-2	2	9	W
13/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
06/09	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	10	11	L
02/09	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	3-4	5	6	L
30/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
09/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	8	8	D
03/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
29/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/07	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	5-1	4	6	W

Zamora II

WLDWLLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
06/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
02/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
29/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	9	9	D
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Urena SC vs Zamora II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Urena SC win (49%). Probabilities: Urena SC 49%, draw 27%, Zamora II 24%.

How many goals are expected in Urena SC vs Zamora II?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Urena SC 1.63 · Zamora II 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Urena SC vs Zamora II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.