Football · Romania Liga III · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: CSM Pascani vs USV Iasi

Team pages: USV Iasi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

CSM Pascani0.9

USV Iasi2.33

1X2

13% 19% 69%

CSM Pascani Draw USV Iasi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Pascani 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLDLD

USV Iasi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLLDD

Head-to-head

CSM Pascani 1–0 USV Iasi (1 last)

CSM Pascani5-2USV Iasi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Pascani 1417 · USV Iasi 1528

	CSM Pascani	Draw	USV Iasi
Our model	12%	19%	68%
Market	13%	18%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Iasi (rating 1417 vs 1528).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSM Pascani	USV Iasi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.7	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

17.00

X5.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:59 +6’	7.00	5.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Pascani 1–0–0 USV Iasi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/07/25 Romania Cup	CSM Pascani	5-2 HT 3-2	USV Iasi

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSSM Vaslui	10	8	2	0	25	11	26
2	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	10	6	2	2	23	14	20
3	USV Iasi	10	5	3	2	15	11	18
4	CSM Adjud	10	5	3	2	20	11	18
5	CS Bradul Putna	10	5	2	3	23	15	17
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	10	3	5	2	15	13	14
7	ACS FC Bacau II	10	4	2	4	14	21	14
8	Aerostar Bacau	10	4	2	4	17	15	14
9	CS Gheorgheni	10	2	3	5	15	20	9
10	Viitorul Onesti	10	1	3	6	15	19	6
11	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt	10	0	4	6	5	21	4
12	CSM Pascani	10	0	3	7	11	27	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Pascani	USV Iasi
Viitorul Onesti	2-2 D	0-0 D
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt	1-1 D	1-0 W
Aerostar Bacau	0-5 L	3-3 D
Odorheiu Secuiesc	1-1 D	2-2 D
CS Bradul Putna	2-7 L	0-1 L
CSSM Vaslui	1-2 L	1-2 L
CS Gheorgheni	2-4 L	2-0 W
CSM Adjud	1-2 L	2-1 W
ACS FC Bacau II	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 7 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: USV Iasi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Pascani

LLLLLDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
16/10	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Romania Liga III	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
10/10	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga III	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
02/10	Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III	–	0-5	–	–	L
26/09	Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III	–	2-7	–	–	L
18/09	CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	CSM Adjud Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/08	ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

USV Iasi

WDWWWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III	1-3	3-3	6	7	D
16/10	Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
10/10	CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
03/10	CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III	0-0	1-2	5	6	L
26/09	CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
22/09	CSM Adjud Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
12/09	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga III	–	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Pascani vs USV Iasi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USV Iasi win (69%). Probabilities: CSM Pascani 13%, draw 19%, USV Iasi 69%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Pascani vs USV Iasi?

The model expects 3.23 goals (CSM Pascani 0.9 · USV Iasi 2.33), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Pascani vs USV Iasi?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.