Football · Romania Liga III · 22/09, 16:00
Prediction: CSO Plopeni vs CS Blejoi
Team pages: CSO Plopeni · CS Blejoi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
CSO Plopeni1.48
CS Blejoi1.34
1X2
CSO Plopeni
Draw
CS Blejoi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CSO Plopeni
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
CS Blejoi
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSO Plopeni
3–1–2
CS Blejoi
(6 last)
- CS Blejoi1-0CSO Plopeni
- CSO Plopeni1-0CS Blejoi
- CSO Plopeni0-2CS Blejoi
- CSO Plopeni1-1CS Blejoi
- CS Blejoi1-2CSO Plopeni
- CS Blejoi0-1CSO Plopeni
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSO Plopeni 1477 · CS Blejoi 1434
| CSO Plopeni | Draw | CS Blejoi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSO Plopeni (rating 1477 vs 1434).
- H2H favours CSO Plopeni: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSO Plopeni | CS Blejoi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/50/33% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 3.2 | 2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSO Plopeni 3–1–2 CS Blejoi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Romania Liga III | CS Blejoi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSO Plopeni |
| 11/10/25 Romania Liga III | CSO Plopeni | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CS Blejoi |
| 07/08/24 Romania Cup | CSO Plopeni | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CS Blejoi |
| 02/12/23 Romania Liga III | CSO Plopeni | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CS Blejoi |
| 30/09/23 Romania Liga III | CS Blejoi | 1-2 HT 1-0 | CSO Plopeni |
| 13/05/23 Romania Liga III | CS Blejoi | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CSO Plopeni |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Tunari | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | CSM Flacara Moreni | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | ACS Progresul Draganesti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | CSO Plopeni | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | CS Blejoi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | CS Urban Titu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Pucioasa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Paulesti | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSO Plopeni
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | CS Tunari Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Paulesti Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | ACS Victoria Traian Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Paulesti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 10/04 | Dacia Unirea Braila Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
CS Blejoi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 20 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/09 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSO Plopeni vs CS Blejoi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSO Plopeni win (40%). Probabilities: CSO Plopeni 40%, draw 26%, CS Blejoi 34%.
How many goals are expected in CSO Plopeni vs CS Blejoi?
The model expects 2.82 goals (CSO Plopeni 1.48 · CS Blejoi 1.34), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CSO Plopeni vs CS Blejoi?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.