Football · Romania Liga III · 02/10, 14:00

Prediction: CS Lotus Baile Felix vs CS Minaur Baia Mare

Team pages: CS Lotus Baile Felix · CS Minaur Baia Mare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

CS Lotus Baile Felix0.8

CS Minaur Baia Mare1.93

1X2

15% 21% 64%

CS Lotus Baile Felix Draw CS Minaur Baia Mare

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Lotus Baile Felix 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWDDD

CS Minaur Baia Mare 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLWWD

Head-to-head

CS Lotus Baile Felix 1–2–3 CS Minaur Baia Mare (6 last)

CS Lotus Baile Felix0-3CS Minaur Baia Mare
CS Minaur Baia Mare3-1CS Lotus Baile Felix
CS Minaur Baia Mare2-0CS Lotus Baile Felix
CS Lotus Baile Felix2-2CS Minaur Baia Mare
CS Lotus Baile Felix2-1CS Minaur Baia Mare
CS Minaur Baia Mare1-1CS Lotus Baile Felix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Lotus Baile Felix 1561 · CS Minaur Baia Mare 1575

	CS Lotus Baile Felix	Draw	CS Minaur Baia Mare
Our model	14%	23%	63%
Market	16%	20%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Minaur Baia Mare: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Lotus Baile Felix	CS Minaur Baia Mare
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.6	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	0 / 1.5	4.4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	5.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.50

21.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.95

2 (-1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +5’	5.75	4.50	1.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Lotus Baile Felix 1–2–3 CS Minaur Baia Mare

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Romania Liga III	CS Lotus Baile Felix	0-3	CS Minaur Baia Mare
04/10/25 Romania Liga III	CS Minaur Baia Mare	3-1 HT 2-0	CS Lotus Baile Felix
03/05/24 Romania Liga III	CS Minaur Baia Mare	2-0	CS Lotus Baile Felix
29/03/24 Romania Liga III	CS Lotus Baile Felix	2-2	CS Minaur Baia Mare
17/11/23 Romania Liga III	CS Lotus Baile Felix	2-1 HT 2-0	CS Minaur Baia Mare
15/09/23 Romania Liga III	CS Minaur Baia Mare	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Lotus Baile Felix

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Minaur Baia Mare	6	4	1	1	14	6	13
2	SCM Zalau	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
3	CS Lotus Baile Felix	6	3	3	0	14	6	12
4	CS Crisul Santandrei	6	3	1	2	10	9	10
5	ACS Viitorul Cluj	6	2	3	1	12	7	9
6	CS Sanatatea Cluj	6	2	3	1	9	4	9
7	CS Academica Recea	6	3	0	3	13	14	9
8	Sighetu Marmatiei	6	2	2	2	9	7	8
9	CF Bihorul Beius	6	2	2	2	6	6	8
10	Unirea Dej	6	1	1	4	4	11	4
11	AFC Unirea Tasnad	6	0	2	4	2	15	2
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	6	0	1	5	4	20	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Lotus Baile Felix	CS Minaur Baia Mare
CS Sanatatea Cluj	1-1 D	2-0 W
CS Crisul Santandrei	2-2 D	0-1 L
Sighetu Marmatiei	1-1 D	2-1 W
ACS Viitorul Cluj	2-1 W	2-2 D
Unirea Dej	1-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Minaur Baia Mare (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Lotus Baile Felix

WDWWWWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-0	1-1	0	2	D
22/09	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	5-0	–	–	W
05/09	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
28/08	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
15/05	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
08/05	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/04	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
17/04	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W

CS Minaur Baia Mare

DLWDWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	1-1	2-2	12	5	D
22/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	11	7	W
19/09	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	4-0	5-1	7	3	W
12/09	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
05/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	9	9	W
22/05	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-1	3-3	6	6	D
16/05	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
09/05	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
02/05	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Lotus Baile Felix vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Minaur Baia Mare win (64%). Probabilities: CS Lotus Baile Felix 15%, draw 21%, CS Minaur Baia Mare 64%.

How many goals are expected in CS Lotus Baile Felix vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?

The model expects 2.73 goals (CS Lotus Baile Felix 0.8 · CS Minaur Baia Mare 1.93), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Lotus Baile Felix vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.