Football · Romania Liga III · 02/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Voluntari II vs CSM Alexandria

Team pages: FC Voluntari II · CSM Alexandria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
FC Voluntari II0.74
CSM Alexandria2.3
1X2
10% 17% 73%
FC Voluntari II Draw CSM Alexandria
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Voluntari II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLDLW
CSM Alexandria 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLWDDWLDWW
Head-to-head
FC Voluntari II 1–1–1 CSM Alexandria (3 last)
  • CSM Alexandria4-2FC Voluntari II
  • FC Voluntari II2-2CSM Alexandria
  • CSM Alexandria0-1FC Voluntari II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Voluntari II 1446 · CSM Alexandria 1512
FC Voluntari IIDrawCSM Alexandria
Our model10%19%72%
Market11%16%73%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Alexandria (rating 1446 vs 1512).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Voluntari IICSM Alexandria
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.81.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.51 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/67/33%25/25/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 4.62 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.15.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Voluntari II 1–1–1 CSM Alexandria

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/09/19
Romania Liga III
CSM Alexandria4-2
HT 1-0
FC Voluntari II
09/04/19
Romania Liga III
FC Voluntari II2-2
HT 1-0
CSM Alexandria
05/10/18
Romania Liga III
CSM Alexandria0-1
HT 0-0
FC Voluntari II

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 6420 7314
2 ACS Inter Ilfov 6411 16913
3 Dunarea Giurgiu 6330 11612
4 CSM Alexandria 6321 10611
5 Acs Axi Arena 6303 459
6 Dinamo Bucharest II 6303 7109
7 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 6222 1798
8 Progresul Mogosoaia 6222 8108
9 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 6204 876
10 FC Voluntari II 6114 694
11 Oxigen Bucuresti 6114 7134
12 Steaua Bucharest II 6105 6203

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Voluntari IICSM Alexandria
Progresul Mogosoaia 0-1 L 2-2 D
Acs Axi Arena 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Alexandria (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Voluntari II

WLLLLLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/09 Oxigen Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-1 2-1 54 W
22/09 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
1-2 2-3 26 L
18/09 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
11/09 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 62 L
04/09 Progresul Mogosoaia
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
28/08 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-1 33 L
16/05 Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Romania Liga III
– 3-4 –– L
08/05 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-2 23 L
02/05 Gloria Baneasa
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-3 93 L
24/04 CS Agigea
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 52 W

CSM Alexandria

LLWDDWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/09 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
22/09 Steaua Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
2-1 3-1 35 W
18/09 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
1-2 2-2 68 D
12/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 94 L
04/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
28/08 Progresul Mogosoaia
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
15/05 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
08/05 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
– 2-0 –– W
01/05 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-2 46 L
24/04 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Voluntari II vs CSM Alexandria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Alexandria win (73%). Probabilities: FC Voluntari II 10%, draw 17%, CSM Alexandria 73%.

How many goals are expected in FC Voluntari II vs CSM Alexandria?

The model expects 3.04 goals (FC Voluntari II 0.74 · CSM Alexandria 2.3), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Voluntari II vs CSM Alexandria?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.