Football · Romania Liga III · 02/10, 14:00

Prediction: Odorheiu Secuiesc vs ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Team pages: Odorheiu Secuiesc · ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Odorheiu Secuiesc1.46

ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc1.63

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Odorheiu Secuiesc Draw ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Odorheiu Secuiesc 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWDDDWD

ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDLDDWLW

Head-to-head

Odorheiu Secuiesc 4–1–1 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc (6 last)

ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc0-2Odorheiu Secuiesc
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc1-0Odorheiu Secuiesc
Odorheiu Secuiesc2-1ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc1-1Odorheiu Secuiesc
Odorheiu Secuiesc1-0ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc0-3Odorheiu Secuiesc

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odorheiu Secuiesc 1523 · ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 1486

	Odorheiu Secuiesc	Draw	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	34%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Odorheiu Secuiesc: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odorheiu Secuiesc	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	8 / 6.5	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.75

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:40 +33’	2.45	3.60	2.35
15:22 +2’	2.63▲	3.75▲	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odorheiu Secuiesc 4–1–1 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/24 Romania Cup	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	0-2 HT 0-0	Odorheiu Secuiesc
07/05/24 Romania Liga III	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	1-0	Odorheiu Secuiesc
05/04/24 Romania Liga III	Odorheiu Secuiesc	2-1	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
28/10/23 Romania Liga III	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	1-1 HT 0-0	Odorheiu Secuiesc
25/08/23 Romania Liga III	Odorheiu Secuiesc	1-0	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
03/05/23 Romania Liga III	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	0-3 HT 0-1	Odorheiu Secuiesc

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSSM Vaslui	6	5	1	0	15	6	16
2	USV Iasi	6	5	1	0	9	3	16
3	CSM Adjud	6	4	1	1	14	6	13
4	Odorheiu Secuiesc	6	2	4	0	7	4	10
5	ACS FC Bacau II	6	3	1	2	8	12	10
6	Aerostar Bacau	6	3	0	3	8	8	9
7	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc	6	2	2	2	13	12	8
8	CS Bradul Putna	6	2	1	3	16	12	7
9	CS Gheorgheni	6	2	0	4	9	11	6
10	Viitorul Onesti	6	1	1	4	9	10	4
11	CSM Pascani	6	0	1	5	7	17	1
12	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt	6	0	1	5	1	15	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odorheiu Secuiesc	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
CS Bradul Putna	1-1 D	3-1 W
CSSM Vaslui	1-1 D	1-3 L
CS Gheorgheni	1-0 W	4-2 W
USV Iasi	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odorheiu Secuiesc

DDWLWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CSM Pascani Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
19/09	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/05	CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
08/05	Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III	–	6-2	–	–	W
01/05	USV Iasi Romania Liga III	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
24/04	Acs Bucovina Radauti Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D

ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

LDDDLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
23/09	CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
19/09	CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	CSM Adjud Romania Liga III	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
05/09	ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
29/08	USV Iasi Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
23/05	Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/05	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odorheiu Secuiesc vs ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc win (41%). Probabilities: Odorheiu Secuiesc 34%, draw 25%, ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 41%.

How many goals are expected in Odorheiu Secuiesc vs ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Odorheiu Secuiesc 1.46 · ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Odorheiu Secuiesc vs ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.