Football · Romania Liga III · 02/10, 14:00

Prediction: CSU Alba Iulia vs CS Unirea Santana

Team pages: CSU Alba Iulia · CS Unirea Santana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

CSU Alba Iulia1.35

CS Unirea Santana2.2

1X2

22% 22% 56%

CSU Alba Iulia Draw CS Unirea Santana

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

CSU Alba Iulia 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWDDLDLL

CS Unirea Santana 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

CSU Alba Iulia 1–1–1 CS Unirea Santana (3 last)

CSU Alba Iulia2-2CS Unirea Santana
CSU Alba Iulia6-1CS Unirea Santana
CS Unirea Santana3-0CSU Alba Iulia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSU Alba Iulia 1471 · CS Unirea Santana 1551

	CSU Alba Iulia	Draw	CS Unirea Santana
Our model	22%	22%	56%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Unirea Santana (rating 1471 vs 1551).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSU Alba Iulia	CS Unirea Santana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/33/17%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.4	4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.6	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.02

2 (-0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
X	4.20 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	1.55 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +8’	4.50	4.20	1.55
16:37 +7’	4.10▼	4.00▼	1.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSU Alba Iulia 1–1–1 CS Unirea Santana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Romania Liga III	CSU Alba Iulia	2-2 HT 2-0	CS Unirea Santana
21/11/25 Romania Liga III	CSU Alba Iulia	6-1 HT 1-1	CS Unirea Santana
12/09/25 Romania Liga III	CS Unirea Santana	3-0	CSU Alba Iulia

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ACS CIL Blaj	6	5	1	0	16	9	16
2	CS Timisul Sag	6	4	1	1	8	4	13
3	CS Unirea Santana	6	4	0	2	13	4	12
4	Unirea Alba Iulia	6	3	2	1	17	4	11
5	ACS Viitorul Arad	6	2	3	1	8	7	9
6	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	6	2	3	1	7	7	9
7	CSM Deva	6	2	3	1	13	11	9
8	ACS Progresul Pecica	6	2	1	3	13	12	7
9	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	6	1	2	3	9	11	5
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	6	1	0	5	8	18	3
11	CSU Alba Iulia	6	0	3	3	4	12	3
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	6	0	1	5	2	19	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSU Alba Iulia	CS Unirea Santana
CS Timisul Sag	0-1 L	4-0 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	0-6 L	4-1 W
CSM Deva	0-0 D	3-0 W
Stinta Poli Timisoara 2	2-3 L	4-1 W
ACS Viitorul Arad	2-2 D	0-1 L
FC Nera Bogodinti	0-0 D	2-0 W
Acs Unirea Dmo	5-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CS Unirea Santana (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSU Alba Iulia

WDLWDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
22/09	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	–	0-6	–	–	L
18/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
11/09	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III	–	2-3	4	3	L
04/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
29/08	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
16/05	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	2-0	6-2	10	2	W
08/05	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
01/05	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	2-0	2-2	2	1	D
25/04	Acs Unirea Dmo Romania Liga III	–	5-1	–	–	W

CS Unirea Santana

DDWWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
22/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	1	3	W
19/09	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
12/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	Acs Unirea Dmo Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/05	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
01/05	CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III	0-2	2-2	4	1	D
25/04	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	1-1	1-1	14	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSU Alba Iulia vs CS Unirea Santana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Unirea Santana win (56%). Probabilities: CSU Alba Iulia 22%, draw 22%, CS Unirea Santana 56%.

How many goals are expected in CSU Alba Iulia vs CS Unirea Santana?

The model expects 3.56 goals (CSU Alba Iulia 1.35 · CS Unirea Santana 2.2), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSU Alba Iulia vs CS Unirea Santana?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.