Football · Romania Liga III · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: CSA Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi
Team pages: CSA Axiopolis · Dunarea Calarasi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
CSA Axiopolis1.31
Dunarea Calarasi2.24
1X2
CSA Axiopolis
Draw
Dunarea Calarasi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
CSA Axiopolis
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Dunarea Calarasi
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSA Axiopolis
1–5
Dunarea Calarasi
(6 last)
- Dunarea Calarasi3-1CSA Axiopolis
- CSA Axiopolis2-1Dunarea Calarasi
- CSA Axiopolis0-1Dunarea Calarasi
- Dunarea Calarasi2-0CSA Axiopolis
- CSA Axiopolis1-2Dunarea Calarasi
- Dunarea Calarasi3-1CSA Axiopolis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSA Axiopolis 1515 · Dunarea Calarasi 1454
| CSA Axiopolis | Draw | Dunarea Calarasi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSA Axiopolis (rating 1515 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Dunarea Calarasi: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSA Axiopolis | Dunarea Calarasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.7 | 0 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSA Axiopolis 1–0–5 Dunarea Calarasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Romania Liga III | Dunarea Calarasi | 3-1 | CSA Axiopolis |
| 27/09/25 Romania Liga III | CSA Axiopolis | 2-1 | Dunarea Calarasi |
| 09/11/24 Romania Liga III | CSA Axiopolis | 0-1 | Dunarea Calarasi |
| 07/09/24 Romania Liga III | Dunarea Calarasi | 2-0 | CSA Axiopolis |
| 25/11/23 Romania Liga III | CSA Axiopolis | 1-2 | Dunarea Calarasi |
| 22/09/23 Romania Liga III | Dunarea Calarasi | 3-1 HT 2-0 | CSA Axiopolis |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Portul Constanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Agricola Borcea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CS Agigea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | CS Sporting Liesti | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | ACS Progresul Fundulea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Inainte Modelu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | CSA Axiopolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Unirea Branistea | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Dunarea Calarasi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Otelul Galati II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Gloria Baneasa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSA Axiopolis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
3-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Dunarea Calarasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSA Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunarea Calarasi win (58%). Probabilities: CSA Axiopolis 21%, draw 21%, Dunarea Calarasi 58%.
How many goals are expected in CSA Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi?
The model expects 3.55 goals (CSA Axiopolis 1.31 · Dunarea Calarasi 2.24), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CSA Axiopolis vs Dunarea Calarasi?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.