Football · Romania Liga III · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Team pages: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti · Progresul Mogosoaia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti2.12
Progresul Mogosoaia1.25
1X2
56% 23% 21%
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Draw Progresul Mogosoaia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWWWL
Progresul Mogosoaia 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWWWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1511 · Progresul Mogosoaia 1528
AFC Progresul Spartac BucurestiDrawProgresul Mogosoaia
Our model56%23%21%
Market56%23%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AFC Progresul Spartac BucurestiProgresul Mogosoaia
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.21.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.70.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/0/50%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)5 / 5.93 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.15.2 / 0.4

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Acs Axi Arena 3300 409
2 Dunarea Giurgiu 2200 516
3 Dinamo Bucharest II 3201 226
4 Progresul Mogosoaia 2110 324
4 CSM Alexandria 2110 324
6 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 2110 324
7 CF Inter Ilfov 3111 664
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 3102 933
9 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 2101 523
10 FC Voluntari II 3003 030
11 Oxigen Bucuresti 2002 270
12 Steaua Bucharest II 3003 2140

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

WLLWLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
29/08 Oxigen Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
5-1 72 W
15/05 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
4-0 8-0 65 W
09/05 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
0-1 4-2 57 W
25/04 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
18/04 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
2-0 2-3 43 L
10/04 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
04/04 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 67 L
27/03 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 44 L
21/03 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
2-1 6-1 96 W

Progresul Mogosoaia

LLLWLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 FC Voluntari II
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
28/08 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
2-2 D
16/05 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
1-1 4-2 16 W
09/05 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
0-1 2-1 74 W
01/05 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 W
25/04 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
1-2 1-4 26 L
18/04 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-0 63 W
10/04 FC Pucioasa
Romania Liga III
0-3 L
04/04 CSM Sacele
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-2 79 L
28/03 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
0-1 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti win (56%). Probabilities: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 56%, draw 23%, Progresul Mogosoaia 21%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

The model expects 3.37 goals (AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 2.12 · Progresul Mogosoaia 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.