Football · Romania Liga III · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: CS Crisul Santandrei vs CS Minaur Baia Mare
Team pages: CS Crisul Santandrei · CS Minaur Baia Mare
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
CS Crisul Santandrei1.23
CS Minaur Baia Mare2.13
1X2
CS Crisul Santandrei
Draw
CS Minaur Baia Mare
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Crisul Santandrei
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
CS Minaur Baia Mare
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Crisul Santandrei
1–5
CS Minaur Baia Mare
(6 last)
- CS Minaur Baia Mare1-4CS Crisul Santandrei
- CS Crisul Santandrei1-2CS Minaur Baia Mare
- CS Minaur Baia Mare5-0CS Crisul Santandrei
- CS Crisul Santandrei0-2CS Minaur Baia Mare
- CS Minaur Baia Mare4-1CS Crisul Santandrei
- CS Crisul Santandrei1-3CS Minaur Baia Mare
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Crisul Santandrei 1490 · CS Minaur Baia Mare 1542
| CS Crisul Santandrei | Draw | CS Minaur Baia Mare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 22% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Minaur Baia Mare (rating 1490 vs 1542).
- H2H favours CS Minaur Baia Mare: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Crisul Santandrei | CS Minaur Baia Mare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 14/57/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 6.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Crisul Santandrei 1–0–5 CS Minaur Baia Mare
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Romania Liga III | CS Minaur Baia Mare | 1-4 HT 1-3 | CS Crisul Santandrei |
| 19/09/25 Romania Liga III | CS Crisul Santandrei | 1-2 | CS Minaur Baia Mare |
| 03/05/25 Romania Liga III | CS Minaur Baia Mare | 5-0 | CS Crisul Santandrei |
| 12/04/25 Romania Liga III | CS Crisul Santandrei | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CS Minaur Baia Mare |
| 22/03/25 Romania Liga III | CS Minaur Baia Mare | 4-1 HT 1-0 | CS Crisul Santandrei |
| 08/03/25 Romania Liga III | CS Crisul Santandrei | 1-3 | CS Minaur Baia Mare |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Lotus Baile Felix | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | CS Minaur Baia Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | CS Sanatatea Cluj | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | CF Bihorul Beius | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sighetu Marmatiei | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Unirea Dej | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | SCM Zalau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | CS Academica Recea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | CS Crisul Santandrei | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | ACS Viitorul Cluj | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | AFC Unirea Tasnad | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| 12 | Transilvania Sport Academy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Crisul Santandrei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | FC Olimpia Satu Mare Romania Liga III |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Unirea Dej Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/03 | SCM Zalau Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
CS Minaur Baia Mare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 22/05 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 04/04 | Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Crisul Santandrei vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Minaur Baia Mare win (57%). Probabilities: CS Crisul Santandrei 21%, draw 22%, CS Minaur Baia Mare 57%.
How many goals are expected in CS Crisul Santandrei vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?
The model expects 3.36 goals (CS Crisul Santandrei 1.23 · CS Minaur Baia Mare 2.13), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Crisul Santandrei vs CS Minaur Baia Mare?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.