Football · Romania Liga III · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: CSSM Vaslui vs Aerostar Bacau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
CSSM Vaslui1.91
Aerostar Bacau1.13
1X2
CSSM Vaslui
Draw
Aerostar Bacau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CSSM Vaslui
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Aerostar Bacau
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSSM Vaslui
3–2–1
Aerostar Bacau
(6 last)
- Aerostar Bacau1-1CSSM Vaslui
- Aerostar Bacau3-0CSSM Vaslui
- CSSM Vaslui1-0Aerostar Bacau
- Aerostar Bacau1-1CSSM Vaslui
- CSSM Vaslui3-0Aerostar Bacau
- Aerostar Bacau0-2CSSM Vaslui
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSSM Vaslui 1522 · Aerostar Bacau 1467
| CSSM Vaslui | Draw | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSSM Vaslui (rating 1522 vs 1467).
- H2H favours CSSM Vaslui: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSSM Vaslui | Aerostar Bacau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/75/25% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 7 | 4 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSSM Vaslui 3–2–1 Aerostar Bacau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/26 Romania Cup | Aerostar Bacau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CSSM Vaslui |
| 01/05/26 Romania Liga III | Aerostar Bacau | 3-0 | CSSM Vaslui |
| 07/03/26 Romania Liga III | CSSM Vaslui | 1-0 | Aerostar Bacau |
| 10/10/25 Romania Liga III | Aerostar Bacau | 1-1 | CSSM Vaslui |
| 11/05/24 Romania Liga III | CSSM Vaslui | 3-0 | Aerostar Bacau |
| 12/04/24 Romania Liga III | Aerostar Bacau | 0-2 | CSSM Vaslui |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACS FC Bacau II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | CSM Adjud | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | CSSM Vaslui | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Viitorul Onesti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | USV Iasi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | CS Bradul Putna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Aerostar Bacau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | CS Gheorgheni | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | CSM Pascani | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSSM Vaslui | Aerostar Bacau |
|---|---|---|
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1-1 D | 2-6 L |
| CSM Adjud | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CS Gheorgheni | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| USV Iasi | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Acs Bucovina Radauti | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| ACS FC Bacau II | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CSSM Vaslui (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSSM Vaslui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/08 | CS Bradul Putna Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Aerostar Bacau Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | USV Iasi Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Acs Bucovina Radauti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Aerostar Bacau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Acs Bucovina Radauti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Odorheiu Secuiesc Romania Liga III |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | CSSM Vaslui Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | CSM Adjud Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | CS Gheorgheni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | ACS FC Bacau II Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | USV Iasi Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSSM Vaslui vs Aerostar Bacau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSSM Vaslui win (55%). Probabilities: CSSM Vaslui 55%, draw 24%, Aerostar Bacau 21%.
How many goals are expected in CSSM Vaslui vs Aerostar Bacau?
The model expects 3.04 goals (CSSM Vaslui 1.91 · Aerostar Bacau 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CSSM Vaslui vs Aerostar Bacau?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.