Football · Romania Liga III · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: CSM Sacele vs ACS Sepsi II

Team pages: CSM Sacele · ACS Sepsi II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
CSM Sacele1.59
ACS Sepsi II1.59
1X2
37% 25% 37%
CSM Sacele Draw ACS Sepsi II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Sacele 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDDWLLWW
ACS Sepsi II 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Sacele 1503 · ACS Sepsi II 1468
CSM SaceleDrawACS Sepsi II
Our model37%26%37%
Market38%25%38%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSM SaceleACS Sepsi II
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 11.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.21 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.22.8 / 0.4

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corona Brasov 3210 737
2 CSM Sacele 2200 316
3 ACS Sepsi II 2200 726
4 FC Inter Sibiu 3201 616
5 CSO Baicoi 3120 635
6 ACS Medias 2022 3111 544
7 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 3111 774
8 ACS Olimpic Zarnesti 2101 673
9 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 2011 141
10 CS Carpati Covasna 2002 270
10 Tricolorul Breaza 2002 270
12 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov 3003 280

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Sacele

LWDDDWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
29/08 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
16/05 FC Pucioasa
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-2 75 L
08/05 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
0-2 2-4 54 L
02/05 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
3-1 7-2 55 W
25/04 CS Urban Titu
Romania Liga III
0-0 D
18/04 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 76 D
10/04 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 95 D
04/04 Progresul Mogosoaia
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-0 49 W
28/03 Vointa 2024 Crevedia
Romania Liga III
0-1 L

ACS Sepsi II

LLLLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 Tricolorul Breaza
Romania Liga III
0-1 3-2 25 W
29/08 CS Carpati Covasna
Romania Liga III
4-0 W
23/05 Cetate Suceava
Romania Liga III
0-3 0-4 53 L
15/05 Soimii Gura Humorului
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-2 24 L
09/05 AS Stiinta Miroslava
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-2 L
01/05 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 51 W
24/04 Cetate Suceava
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-3 33 L
18/04 Soimii Gura Humorului
Romania Liga III
0-4 L
10/04 AS Stiinta Miroslava
Romania Liga III
1-3 L
04/04 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
0-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Sacele vs ACS Sepsi II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Sacele win (37%). Probabilities: CSM Sacele 37%, draw 25%, ACS Sepsi II 37%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Sacele vs ACS Sepsi II?

The model expects 3.18 goals (CSM Sacele 1.59 · ACS Sepsi II 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Sacele vs ACS Sepsi II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.