Football · Romania Liga III · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: Otelul Galati II vs Unirea Branistea

Team pages: Otelul Galati II · Unirea Branistea

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

Otelul Galati II1.3

Unirea Branistea2.35

1X2

19% 21% 60%

Otelul Galati II Draw Unirea Branistea

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Otelul Galati II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWDWL

Unirea Branistea 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Otelul Galati II 0–3 Unirea Branistea (3 last)

Unirea Branistea8-0Otelul Galati II
Unirea Branistea2-1Otelul Galati II
Otelul Galati II0-3Unirea Branistea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Otelul Galati II 1420 · Unirea Branistea 1541

	Otelul Galati II	Draw	Unirea Branistea
Our model	19%	21%	60%
Market	19%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unirea Branistea (rating 1420 vs 1541).
H2H favours Unirea Branistea: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Otelul Galati II	Unirea Branistea
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.5	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	0/83/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 4.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.8	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.20

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	1.61 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +22’	4.00	4.00	1.61
14:04 +3’	4.75▲	4.20▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Otelul Galati II 0–0–3 Unirea Branistea

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Romania Liga III	Unirea Branistea	8-0	Otelul Galati II
14/03/26 Romania Liga III	Unirea Branistea	2-1	Otelul Galati II
17/10/25 Romania Liga III	Otelul Galati II	0-3	Unirea Branistea

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Agricola Borcea	10	9	0	1	32	9	27
2	ACS Progresul Fundulea	10	7	0	3	28	14	21
3	CS Sporting Liesti	10	6	0	4	35	19	18
4	CSA Axiopolis	10	5	1	4	23	20	16
5	Unirea Branistea	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
6	Inainte Modelu	10	5	1	4	18	14	16
7	CS Agigea	10	4	3	3	15	16	15
8	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	10	5	0	5	20	28	15
9	Dunarea Calarasi	10	4	2	4	10	13	14
10	Gloria Baneasa	10	2	1	7	14	25	7
11	Otelul Galati II	10	2	1	7	10	25	7
12	CS Portul Constanta	10	1	0	9	12	38	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Otelul Galati II	Unirea Branistea
Dunarea Calarasi	0-2 L	1-1 D
Inainte Modelu	2-1 W	1-0 W
CS Agigea	2-2 D	1-2 L
CS Portul Constanta	2-1 W	3-1 W
CS Sporting Liesti	1-6 L	1-2 L
Gloria Baneasa	1-2 L	3-1 W
Recolta Gheorghe Doja	1-2 L	2-1 W
CSA Axiopolis	0-2 L	3-4 L
ACS Progresul Fundulea	1-4 L	4-2 W
FC Agricola Borcea	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 7 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Unirea Branistea (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Otelul Galati II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/10	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
26/09	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	–	1-6	–	–	L
23/09	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	0-2	1-2	9	6	L
19/09	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
11/09	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	–	0-2	1	3	L
05/09	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
28/08	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	0-0	0-3	2	8	L

Unirea Branistea

LLWWLLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/10	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
02/10	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	1-3	3-4	4	0	L
23/09	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
19/09	ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III	1-1	4-2	4	6	W
12/09	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	0-0	3-1	5	5	W
05/09	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
29/08	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	0-0	1-2	5	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Otelul Galati II vs Unirea Branistea?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unirea Branistea win (60%). Probabilities: Otelul Galati II 19%, draw 21%, Unirea Branistea 60%.

How many goals are expected in Otelul Galati II vs Unirea Branistea?

The model expects 3.65 goals (Otelul Galati II 1.3 · Unirea Branistea 2.35), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Otelul Galati II vs Unirea Branistea?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.