Football · Romania Liga III · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: ACS Progresul Fundulea vs Inainte Modelu

Team pages: ACS Progresul Fundulea · Inainte Modelu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

ACS Progresul Fundulea1.77

Inainte Modelu1.66

1X2

40% 25% 35%

ACS Progresul Fundulea Draw Inainte Modelu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

ACS Progresul Fundulea 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Inainte Modelu 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

ACS Progresul Fundulea 2–1–3 Inainte Modelu (6 last)

Inainte Modelu2-0ACS Progresul Fundulea
ACS Progresul Fundulea1-0Inainte Modelu
ACS Progresul Fundulea2-1Inainte Modelu
Inainte Modelu2-0ACS Progresul Fundulea
ACS Progresul Fundulea0-0Inainte Modelu
Inainte Modelu2-1ACS Progresul Fundulea

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Progresul Fundulea 1553 · Inainte Modelu 1513

	ACS Progresul Fundulea	Draw	Inainte Modelu
Our model	40%	24%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Progresul Fundulea (rating 1553 vs 1513).
H2H favours Inainte Modelu: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ACS Progresul Fundulea	Inainte Modelu
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	2.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0	7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:38 +4’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Progresul Fundulea 2–1–3 Inainte Modelu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Romania Liga III	Inainte Modelu	2-0	ACS Progresul Fundulea
11/10/25 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Fundulea	1-0	Inainte Modelu
01/03/25 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Fundulea	2-1	Inainte Modelu
11/10/24 Romania Liga III	Inainte Modelu	2-0	ACS Progresul Fundulea
11/05/24 Romania Liga III	ACS Progresul Fundulea	0-0	Inainte Modelu
12/04/24 Romania Liga III	Inainte Modelu	2-1 HT 0-0	ACS Progresul Fundulea

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Agricola Borcea	10	9	0	1	32	9	27
2	ACS Progresul Fundulea	10	7	0	3	28	14	21
3	CS Sporting Liesti	10	6	0	4	35	19	18
4	CSA Axiopolis	10	5	1	4	23	20	16
5	Unirea Branistea	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
6	Inainte Modelu	10	5	1	4	18	14	16
7	CS Agigea	10	4	3	3	15	16	15
8	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	10	5	0	5	20	28	15
9	Dunarea Calarasi	10	4	2	4	10	13	14
10	Gloria Baneasa	10	2	1	7	14	25	7
11	Otelul Galati II	10	2	1	7	10	25	7
12	CS Portul Constanta	10	1	0	9	12	38	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ACS Progresul Fundulea	Inainte Modelu
CS Agigea	4-2 W	1-0 W
CS Portul Constanta	6-0 W	4-3 W
CS Sporting Liesti	2-0 W	4-5 L
Gloria Baneasa	2-1 W	1-0 W
Recolta Gheorghe Doja	1-2 L	4-1 W
CSA Axiopolis	4-0 W	1-1 D
Unirea Branistea	2-4 L	0-1 L
FC Agricola Borcea	2-4 L	0-1 L
Otelul Galati II	4-1 W	1-2 L
Dunarea Calarasi	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Progresul Fundulea (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Progresul Fundulea

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	–	4-2	–	–	W
17/10	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	–	6-0	–	–	W
10/10	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
03/10	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III	1-1	2-4	5	6	L
12/09	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
05/09	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/08	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W

Inainte Modelu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/10	Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/10	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	2-0	2-0	5	9	W
02/10	Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	CS Agigea Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
23/09	CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III	3-0	4-3	7	5	W
19/09	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	–	4-5	–	–	L
11/09	Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/08	CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Progresul Fundulea vs Inainte Modelu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Progresul Fundulea win (40%). Probabilities: ACS Progresul Fundulea 40%, draw 25%, Inainte Modelu 35%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Progresul Fundulea vs Inainte Modelu?

The model expects 3.44 goals (ACS Progresul Fundulea 1.77 · Inainte Modelu 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Progresul Fundulea vs Inainte Modelu?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.