Football · Romania Liga III · 22/09, 16:00

Prediction: Steaua Bucharest II vs CSM Alexandria

Team pages: Steaua Bucharest II · CSM Alexandria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Steaua Bucharest II1.25
CSM Alexandria1.92
1X2
24% 24% 52%
Steaua Bucharest II Draw CSM Alexandria
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Steaua Bucharest II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWLLLW
CSM Alexandria 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLWDDWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Steaua Bucharest II 1493 · CSM Alexandria 1478
Steaua Bucharest IIDrawCSM Alexandria
Our model24%24%52%
Market24%24%52%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Steaua Bucharest IICSM Alexandria
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.11.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 10.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/0/60%0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)5 / 5.23 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 05 / 0.3

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti 4310 5210
2 Acs Axi Arena 4301 429
3 Dinamo Bucharest II 4301 529
4 Dunarea Giurgiu 4220 958
5 ACS Inter Ilfov 4211 867
6 Progresul Mogosoaia 4211 567
7 CSM Alexandria 4121 555
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 4112 1154
9 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 4103 653
10 Steaua Bucharest II 4103 4153
11 FC Voluntari II 4013 251
12 Oxigen Bucuresti 4013 5111

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Steaua Bucharest II

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Oxigen Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
2-1 51 W
11/09 ACS Inter Ilfov
Romania Liga III
2-3 2-4 63 L
04/09 Cetatea Turnu Magurele
Romania Liga III
0-9 L
28/08 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 83 L
15/05 Dinamo Bucharest II
Romania Liga III
0-1 3-1 50 W
08/05 CS Agigea
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-0 41 W
01/05 CSA Axiopolis
Romania Liga III
1-1 D
24/04 Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-2 34 D
17/04 Gloria Baneasa
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
10/04 ACS Progresul Fundulea
Romania Liga III
1-2 L

CSM Alexandria

LWLLWDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
1-2 2-2 68 D
12/09 CS Omega Sport Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-1 94 L
04/09 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
28/08 Progresul Mogosoaia
Romania Liga III
2-2 D
15/05 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
2-2 D
08/05 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
01/05 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-2 46 L
24/04 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
0-1 L
18/04 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-2 3-2 83 W
10/04 Oltul Curtisoara
Romania Liga III
0-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Steaua Bucharest II vs CSM Alexandria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Alexandria win (52%). Probabilities: Steaua Bucharest II 24%, draw 24%, CSM Alexandria 52%.

How many goals are expected in Steaua Bucharest II vs CSM Alexandria?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Steaua Bucharest II 1.25 · CSM Alexandria 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Steaua Bucharest II vs CSM Alexandria?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.