Football · Romania Liga III · 22/09, 16:00
Prediction: ACSO Filiasi vs CS U Craiova II
Team pages: ACSO Filiasi · CS U Craiova II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
ACSO Filiasi1.25
CS U Craiova II1.96
1X2
ACSO Filiasi
Draw
CS U Craiova II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
ACSO Filiasi
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
CS U Craiova II
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ACSO Filiasi
3–3
CS U Craiova II
(6 last)
- ACSO Filiasi0-3CS U Craiova II
- CS U Craiova II2-1ACSO Filiasi
- CS U Craiova II1-5ACSO Filiasi
- ACSO Filiasi2-0CS U Craiova II
- ACSO Filiasi1-2CS U Craiova II
- CS U Craiova II1-2ACSO Filiasi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACSO Filiasi 1506 · CS U Craiova II 1573
| ACSO Filiasi | Draw | CS U Craiova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 22% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS U Craiova II (rating 1506 vs 1573).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACSO Filiasi | CS U Craiova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/29/29% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACSO Filiasi 3–0–3 CS U Craiova II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Romania Liga III | ACSO Filiasi | 0-3 HT 0-0 | CS U Craiova II |
| 18/10/25 Romania Liga III | CS U Craiova II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | ACSO Filiasi |
| 10/11/23 Romania Liga III | CS U Craiova II | 1-5 HT 1-3 | ACSO Filiasi |
| 05/09/23 Romania Liga III | ACSO Filiasi | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CS U Craiova II |
| 28/05/22 Romania Liga III | ACSO Filiasi | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CS U Craiova II |
| 30/04/22 Romania Liga III | CS U Craiova II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | ACSO Filiasi |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Drobeta Turnu Severin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | CS U Craiova II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Minerul Lupeni | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | ACSO Filiasi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | CSM Targu Jiu | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
| 7 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Unirea Bascov | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Jiul Petrosani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | ACS Academica Bals | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Oltul Curtisoara | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ACSO Filiasi | CS U Craiova II |
|---|---|---|
| Oltul Curtisoara | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| CS Vulturii Farcasesti | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Jiul Petrosani | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: ACSO Filiasi (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACSO Filiasi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | CSM Targu Jiu Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | CSL Nanov Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 04/04 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
CS U Craiova II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 15/05 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACSO Filiasi vs CS U Craiova II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CS U Craiova II win (53%). Probabilities: ACSO Filiasi 24%, draw 23%, CS U Craiova II 53%.
How many goals are expected in ACSO Filiasi vs CS U Craiova II?
The model expects 3.21 goals (ACSO Filiasi 1.25 · CS U Craiova II 1.96), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in ACSO Filiasi vs CS U Craiova II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.