Football · Romania Liga III · 30/10, 18:00
Prediction: CSM Targu Jiu vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Team pages: CSM Targu Jiu · CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
CSM Targu Jiu2.08
CS Vulturii Farcasesti1.12
1X2
CSM Targu Jiu
Draw
CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Targu Jiu
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CS Vulturii Farcasesti
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSM Targu Jiu
1–2
CS Vulturii Farcasesti
(3 last)
- CSM Targu Jiu3-2CS Vulturii Farcasesti
- CS Vulturii Farcasesti4-2CSM Targu Jiu
- CSM Targu Jiu1-2CS Vulturii Farcasesti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSM Targu Jiu 1539 · CS Vulturii Farcasesti 1486
| CSM Targu Jiu | Draw | CS Vulturii Farcasesti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Targu Jiu (rating 1539 vs 1486).
- H2H favours CS Vulturii Farcasesti: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSM Targu Jiu | CS Vulturii Farcasesti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 17/50/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 5.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Targu Jiu 1–0–2 CS Vulturii Farcasesti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/26 Romania Cup | CSM Targu Jiu | 3-2 HT 2-1 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti |
| 13/12/25 Romania Liga III | CS Vulturii Farcasesti | 4-2 HT 3-1 | CSM Targu Jiu |
| 26/09/25 Romania Liga III | CSM Targu Jiu | 1-2 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drobeta TR Severin | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | CSM Targu Jiu | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | CS U Craiova II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | ACSO Filiasi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 6 | Jiul Petrosani | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | Oltul Curtisoara | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 15 |
| 8 | Unirea Bascov | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 9 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | CS Vulturii Farcasesti | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | ACS Academica Bals | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
| 12 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 36 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSM Targu Jiu | CS Vulturii Farcasesti |
|---|---|---|
| CS U Craiova II | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Jiul Petrosani | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Unirea Bascov | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| ACS Petrolul Hartiesti | 6-1 W | 3-0 W |
| ACS Academica Bals | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Minerul Lupeni | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Drobeta Turnu Severin | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| AS FC Pausesti-Otasau | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| ACSO Filiasi | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Oltul Curtisoara | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CSM Targu Jiu (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSM Targu Jiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | Unirea Bascov Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/09 | ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/09 | FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/09 | ACSO Filiasi Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 10 | W |
CS Vulturii Farcasesti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 16/10 | Unirea Bascov Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/09 | FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/09 | ACSO Filiasi Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSM Targu Jiu vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSM Targu Jiu win (59%). Probabilities: CSM Targu Jiu 59%, draw 23%, CS Vulturii Farcasesti 19%.
How many goals are expected in CSM Targu Jiu vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti?
The model expects 3.19 goals (CSM Targu Jiu 2.08 · CS Vulturii Farcasesti 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSM Targu Jiu vs CS Vulturii Farcasesti?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.