Football · Romania Liga III · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: Unirea Bascov vs ACSO Filiasi

Team pages: Unirea Bascov · ACSO Filiasi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Unirea Bascov1.63

ACSO Filiasi1.44

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Unirea Bascov Draw ACSO Filiasi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Unirea Bascov 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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ACSO Filiasi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDLLDW

Head-to-head

Unirea Bascov 1–1–4 ACSO Filiasi (6 last)

ACSO Filiasi3-1Unirea Bascov
Unirea Bascov2-0ACSO Filiasi
ACSO Filiasi2-1Unirea Bascov
ACSO Filiasi2-0Unirea Bascov
Unirea Bascov1-1ACSO Filiasi
ACSO Filiasi2-0Unirea Bascov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unirea Bascov 1497 · ACSO Filiasi 1504

	Unirea Bascov	Draw	ACSO Filiasi
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ACSO Filiasi: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unirea Bascov	ACSO Filiasi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	17/17/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3	1.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +39’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unirea Bascov 1–1–4 ACSO Filiasi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/25 Romania Liga III	ACSO Filiasi	3-1 HT 2-0	Unirea Bascov
12/04/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Bascov	2-0 HT 2-0	ACSO Filiasi
21/03/25 Romania Liga III	ACSO Filiasi	2-1 HT 0-0	Unirea Bascov
22/11/24 Romania Liga III	ACSO Filiasi	2-0 HT 1-0	Unirea Bascov
20/09/24 Romania Liga III	Unirea Bascov	1-1 HT 0-0	ACSO Filiasi
27/03/21 Romania Liga III	ACSO Filiasi	2-0 HT 0-0	Unirea Bascov

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Drobeta TR Severin	10	8	1	1	25	6	25
2	Minerul Lupeni	10	6	1	3	11	7	19
3	CSM Targu Jiu	10	5	3	2	16	9	18
4	CS U Craiova II	10	4	4	2	18	12	16
5	ACSO Filiasi	10	4	3	3	17	15	15
6	Jiul Petrosani	10	4	3	3	14	12	15
7	Oltul Curtisoara	10	5	0	5	16	19	15
8	Unirea Bascov	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
9	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau	10	2	6	2	10	13	12
10	CS Vulturii Farcasesti	10	3	3	4	16	15	12
11	ACS Academica Bals	10	2	1	7	13	17	7
12	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti	10	0	0	10	4	36	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unirea Bascov	ACSO Filiasi
Oltul Curtisoara	2-4 L	3-1 W
CS Vulturii Farcasesti	1-0 W	4-2 W
CSM Targu Jiu	0-1 L	1-3 L
Jiul Petrosani	1-1 D	2-1 W
CS U Craiova II	1-1 D	2-2 D
ACS Petrolul Hartiesti	6-0 W	3-0 W
ACS Academica Bals	3-1 W	1-1 D
Minerul Lupeni	0-3 L	0-1 L
FC Drobeta Turnu Severin	0-2 L	0-3 L
AS FC Pausesti-Otasau	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unirea Bascov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L
16/10	CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
09/10	CSM Targu Jiu Romania Liga III	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
02/10	Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
26/09	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III	2-0	6-0	2	4	W
18/09	ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III	1-1	3-1	6	9	W
12/09	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III	0-1	0-2	0	7	L
29/08	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D

ACSO Filiasi

WLWWDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/10	ACS Academica Bals Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	Minerul Lupeni Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
02/10	FC Drobeta Turnu Severin Romania Liga III	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
25/09	AS FC Pausesti-Otasau Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/09	CS U Craiova II Romania Liga III	1-2	2-2	9	5	D
19/09	Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III	1-0	3-1	2	2	W
11/09	CS Vulturii Farcasesti Romania Liga III	–	4-2	–	–	W
04/09	CSM Targu Jiu Romania Liga III	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
28/08	Jiul Petrosani Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unirea Bascov vs ACSO Filiasi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Unirea Bascov win (41%). Probabilities: Unirea Bascov 41%, draw 26%, ACSO Filiasi 33%.

How many goals are expected in Unirea Bascov vs ACSO Filiasi?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Unirea Bascov 1.63 · ACSO Filiasi 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Unirea Bascov vs ACSO Filiasi?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.