Football · Romania Liga III · 23/10, 14:00
Prediction: CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSU Alba Iulia
Team pages: CS Metalurgistul Cugir · CSU Alba Iulia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
CS Metalurgistul Cugir2.33
CSU Alba Iulia0.91
1X2
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Draw
CSU Alba Iulia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
CSU Alba Iulia
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
1–2–3
CSU Alba Iulia
(6 last)
- CS Metalurgistul Cugir2-1CSU Alba Iulia
- CSU Alba Iulia2-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir
- CS Metalurgistul Cugir1-1CSU Alba Iulia
- CS Metalurgistul Cugir0-3CSU Alba Iulia
- CSU Alba Iulia5-2CS Metalurgistul Cugir
- CS Metalurgistul Cugir1-3CSU Alba Iulia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1472 · CSU Alba Iulia 1428
| CS Metalurgistul Cugir | Draw | CSU Alba Iulia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 16% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Metalurgistul Cugir (rating 1472 vs 1428).
- H2H favours CSU Alba Iulia: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Metalurgistul Cugir | CSU Alba Iulia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/43/57% | 33/50/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 1.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1–2–3 CSU Alba Iulia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 Romania Liga III | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CSU Alba Iulia |
| 03/10/25 Romania Liga III | CSU Alba Iulia | 2-2 HT 1-1 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir |
| 30/07/25 Romania Cup | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CSU Alba Iulia |
| 28/02/25 Romania Liga III | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 0-3 | CSU Alba Iulia |
| 12/10/24 Romania Liga III | CSU Alba Iulia | 5-2 HT 3-0 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir |
| 07/08/24 Romania Cup | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 1-3 HT 0-1 | CSU Alba Iulia |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | ACS CIL Blaj | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | CS Timisul Sag | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | CS Unirea Santana | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | CSM Deva | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 15 |
| 6 | ACS Viitorul Arad | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
| 7 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | ACS Progresul Pecica | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 10 |
| 9 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | SSU Politehnica Timisoara II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 7 |
| 11 | CSU Alba Iulia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Nera Bogodinti | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | CSU Alba Iulia |
|---|---|---|
| ACS Progresul Pecica | 2-1 W | 0-6 L |
| CSM Deva | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| ACS Viitorul Arad | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Nera Bogodinti | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CS Timisul Sag | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| ACS CIL Blaj | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 4 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/10 | CSM Deva Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/10 | SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/09 | FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Unirea Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
CSU Alba Iulia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/10 | CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 18/09 | CSM Deva Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 11/09 | Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 6-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSU Alba Iulia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Metalurgistul Cugir win (69%). Probabilities: CS Metalurgistul Cugir 69%, draw 18%, CSU Alba Iulia 13%.
How many goals are expected in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSU Alba Iulia?
The model expects 3.24 goals (CS Metalurgistul Cugir 2.33 · CSU Alba Iulia 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Metalurgistul Cugir vs CSU Alba Iulia?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.