Football · Romania Liga III · 30/10, 14:00

Prediction: CSU Alba Iulia vs Unirea Alba Iulia

Team pages: CSU Alba Iulia · Unirea Alba Iulia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

CSU Alba Iulia0.64

Unirea Alba Iulia2.64

1X2

7% 13% 81%

CSU Alba Iulia Draw Unirea Alba Iulia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CSU Alba Iulia 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLLDLL

Unirea Alba Iulia 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CSU Alba Iulia 0–1–5 Unirea Alba Iulia (6 last)

Unirea Alba Iulia3-0CSU Alba Iulia
CSU Alba Iulia0-6Unirea Alba Iulia
CSU Alba Iulia1-4Unirea Alba Iulia
Unirea Alba Iulia2-1CSU Alba Iulia
CSU Alba Iulia0-0Unirea Alba Iulia
Unirea Alba Iulia1-0CSU Alba Iulia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSU Alba Iulia 1421 · Unirea Alba Iulia 1591

	CSU Alba Iulia	Draw	Unirea Alba Iulia
Our model	6%	15%	79%
Market	7%	11%	82%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unirea Alba Iulia (rating 1421 vs 1591).
H2H favours Unirea Alba Iulia: 5-1-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSU Alba Iulia	Unirea Alba Iulia
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.9	2.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	1.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/67/17%	71/29/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	4.7 / 8.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.6	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

113.00

X8.00

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.90

2 (-2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +8’	13.00	8.00	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSU Alba Iulia 0–1–5 Unirea Alba Iulia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	3-0	CSU Alba Iulia
17/10/25 Romania Liga III	CSU Alba Iulia	0-6 HT 0-5	Unirea Alba Iulia
06/08/25 Romania Cup	CSU Alba Iulia	1-4 HT 1-3	Unirea Alba Iulia
02/05/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	2-1 HT 0-0	CSU Alba Iulia
12/04/25 Romania Liga III	CSU Alba Iulia	0-0 HT 0-0	Unirea Alba Iulia
21/03/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Alba Iulia	1-0 HT 0-0	CSU Alba Iulia

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	10	7	2	1	29	5	23
2	CS Timisul Sag	10	6	2	2	13	6	20
3	CSM Deva	10	5	3	2	23	15	18
4	ACS CIL Blaj	10	5	3	2	19	16	18
5	ACS Viitorul Arad	10	5	3	2	15	13	18
6	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	10	5	3	2	18	12	18
7	CS Unirea Santana	10	5	1	4	15	9	16
8	CS Metalurgistul Cugir	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
9	ACS Progresul Pecica	10	3	1	6	16	24	10
10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II	10	2	1	7	11	23	7
11	CSU Alba Iulia	10	0	4	6	7	19	4
12	FC Nera Bogodinti	10	0	2	8	4	26	2

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSU Alba Iulia	Unirea Alba Iulia
CS Metalurgistul Cugir	1-2 L	2-2 D
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII	0-2 L	0-0 D
ACS CIL Blaj	2-2 D	1-2 L
CS Unirea Santana	0-1 L	1-0 W
CS Timisul Sag	0-1 L	3-0 W
ACS Progresul Pecica	0-6 L	4-0 W
CSM Deva	0-0 D	2-1 W
ACS Viitorul Arad	2-2 D	4-0 W
FC Nera Bogodinti	0-0 D	10-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 5 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Unirea Alba Iulia (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSU Alba Iulia

DDLDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
16/10	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
09/10	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/10	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
25/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
22/09	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	–	0-6	–	–	L
18/09	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
11/09	Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 Romania Liga III	–	2-3	4	3	L
04/09	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
29/08	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D

Unirea Alba Iulia

WLDDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	ACS Progresul Pecica Romania Liga III	2-0	4-0	15	3	W
16/10	CSM Deva Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	SSU Politehnica Timisoara II Romania Liga III	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
03/10	ACS Viitorul Arad Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
26/09	FC Nera Bogodinti Romania Liga III	4-0	10-0	12	0	W
22/09	CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
12/09	Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/09	ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III	1-0	1-2	5	8	L
29/08	CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSU Alba Iulia vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unirea Alba Iulia win (81%). Probabilities: CSU Alba Iulia 7%, draw 13%, Unirea Alba Iulia 81%.

How many goals are expected in CSU Alba Iulia vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

The model expects 3.28 goals (CSU Alba Iulia 0.64 · Unirea Alba Iulia 2.64), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSU Alba Iulia vs Unirea Alba Iulia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.