Football · Romania Liga III · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: CS Minaur Baia Mare vs AFC Unirea Tasnad

Team pages: CS Minaur Baia Mare · AFC Unirea Tasnad

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

CS Minaur Baia Mare2.29

AFC Unirea Tasnad1.03

1X2

65% 21% 15%

CS Minaur Baia Mare Draw AFC Unirea Tasnad

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Minaur Baia Mare 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWDWWD

AFC Unirea Tasnad 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLLDWW

Head-to-head

CS Minaur Baia Mare 0–2 AFC Unirea Tasnad (2 last)

AFC Unirea Tasnad2-0CS Minaur Baia Mare
CS Minaur Baia Mare1-5AFC Unirea Tasnad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Minaur Baia Mare 1569 · AFC Unirea Tasnad 1468

	CS Minaur Baia Mare	Draw	AFC Unirea Tasnad
Our model	65%	20%	15%
Market	65%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Minaur Baia Mare (rating 1569 vs 1468).
H2H favours AFC Unirea Tasnad: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Minaur Baia Mare	AFC Unirea Tasnad
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.9	0.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/57/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 8.1	0 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +45’	1.40	4.33	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Minaur Baia Mare 0–0–2 AFC Unirea Tasnad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Romania Liga III	AFC Unirea Tasnad	2-0	CS Minaur Baia Mare
13/09/25 Romania Liga III	CS Minaur Baia Mare	1-5 HT 1-3	AFC Unirea Tasnad

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Minaur Baia Mare	9	6	2	1	24	6	20
2	CS Sanatatea Cluj	10	5	4	1	17	7	19
3	CS Crisul Santandrei	9	5	1	3	14	13	16
4	CS Academica Recea	9	5	0	4	17	17	15
5	SCM Zalau	9	4	3	2	14	7	15
6	Sighetu Marmatiei	9	4	2	3	14	9	14
7	CS Lotus Baile Felix	9	3	4	2	15	12	13
8	ACS Viitorul Cluj	9	3	3	3	17	12	12
9	CF Bihorul Beius	9	3	3	3	8	9	12
10	AFC Unirea Tasnad	9	2	3	4	5	16	9
11	Unirea Dej	10	1	2	7	5	17	5
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	9	0	1	8	7	32	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Minaur Baia Mare	AFC Unirea Tasnad
CF Bihorul Beius	0-0 D	0-0 D
Transilvania Sport Academy	6-0 W	2-1 W
CS Lotus Baile Felix	4-0 W	0-5 L
ACS Viitorul Cluj	2-2 D	1-0 W
CS Sanatatea Cluj	2-0 W	1-1 D
Unirea Dej	5-1 W	0-0 D
CS Crisul Santandrei	0-1 L	0-3 L
CS Academica Recea	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CS Minaur Baia Mare (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Minaur Baia Mare

DWWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	6-0	–	–	W
02/10	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	3-0	4-0	6	3	W
26/09	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	1-1	2-2	12	5	D
22/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	1-0	2-0	11	7	W
19/09	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	4-0	5-1	7	3	W
12/09	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
05/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	9	9	W
22/05	CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III	1-1	3-3	6	6	D

AFC Unirea Tasnad

LLDLDLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/10	Unirea Dej Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
26/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/09	SCM Zalau Romania Liga III	–	0-4	–	–	L
19/09	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/09	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	0-5	–	–	L
05/09	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	–	1-1	4	3	D
29/08	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
23/05	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III	0-0	0-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Minaur Baia Mare vs AFC Unirea Tasnad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Minaur Baia Mare win (65%). Probabilities: CS Minaur Baia Mare 65%, draw 21%, AFC Unirea Tasnad 15%.

How many goals are expected in CS Minaur Baia Mare vs AFC Unirea Tasnad?

The model expects 3.32 goals (CS Minaur Baia Mare 2.29 · AFC Unirea Tasnad 1.03), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Minaur Baia Mare vs AFC Unirea Tasnad?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.