Football · Panama Liga Prom · 28/08, 03:00
Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs San Martin FC
Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves · San Martin FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.94
San Martin FC1.13
1X2
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Draw
San Martin FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
San Martin FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
5–1–0
San Martin FC
(6 last)
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves5-2San Martin FC
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-0San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves3-1San Martin FC
- San Martin FC1-3Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-0San Martin FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1482 · San Martin FC 1429
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | Draw | San Martin FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (rating 1482 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | San Martin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 5–1–0 San Martin FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 5-2 HT 3-0 | San Martin FC |
| 25/09/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-0 HT 2-0 | San Martin FC |
| 28/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 23/08/24 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 3-1 HT 1-1 | San Martin FC |
| 08/03/24 Panama Liga Prom | San Martin FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 17/09/23 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Potros Del Este | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Tauro FC Reserves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 5 | Alianza FC Reserves | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 07/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/04 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 12/04 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-5 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
San Martin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 19/04 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs San Martin FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Miguelito Reserves win (55%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 55%, draw 24%, San Martin FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs San Martin FC?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.94 · San Martin FC 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs San Martin FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.