Football · Panama Liga Prom · 06/09, 02:00

Prediction: La Familia FC vs Union Cocle Reserves

Team pages: La Familia FC · Union Cocle Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
La Familia FC1.52
Union Cocle Reserves1.83
1X2
31% 24% 44%
La Familia FC Draw Union Cocle Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
La Familia FC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
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Union Cocle Reserves 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
La Familia FC 0–1 Union Cocle Reserves (1 last)
  • Union Cocle Reserves3-2La Familia FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Familia FC 1400 · Union Cocle Reserves 1454
La Familia FCDrawUnion Cocle Reserves
Our model31%25%44%
Market31%24%44%
Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Cocle Reserves (rating 1400 vs 1454).
  • Cards-heavy: 13.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La Familia FCUnion Cocle Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 31.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/38/38%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.11.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.8 / 0.45.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Familia FC 001 Union Cocle Reserves

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/02/26
Panama Liga Prom
Union Cocle Reserves3-2
HT 2-1
La Familia FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Aguilas de la U 6501 17315
2 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 6420 13814
3 Udelas FC 6402 13712
4 SD Atletico Nacional 7304 14189
5 San Francisco Reserves 7214 12167
6 Union Cocle Reserves 6114 8144

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa Familia FCUnion Cocle Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2-3 L 1-1 D
Herrera FC Reserves 1-5 L 4-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Union Cocle Reserves (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Familia FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 2-3 59 L
22/08 CD Universitario Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
3-1 3-4 69 L
16/08 Herrera FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-5 36 L
07/08 Veraguas United Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-1 17 D
01/08 Rayados de Chiriqui
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-2 57 L
26/07 Bocas
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-1 010 D
03/05 Rayados de Chiriqui
Panama Liga Prom
0-4 L
24/04 Veraguas United Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 58 D
18/04 Herrera FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-3 L
12/04 Bocas
Panama Liga Prom
0-2 0-7 09 L

Union Cocle Reserves

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/08 Herrera FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
3-1 4-1 88 W
21/08 San Francisco Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-2 1-3 38 L
12/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 1-1 73 D
05/08 Udelas FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-3 38 L
01/08 SD Atletico Nacional
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-1 67 L
26/07 Aguilas de la U
Panama Liga Prom
1-2 1-5 37 L
30/04 San Francisco Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 3-0 46 W
25/04 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-1 27 L
18/04 Aguilas de la U
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-2 42 L
11/04 Udelas FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-1 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Familia FC vs Union Cocle Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Cocle Reserves win (44%). Probabilities: La Familia FC 31%, draw 24%, Union Cocle Reserves 44%.

How many goals are expected in La Familia FC vs Union Cocle Reserves?

The model expects 3.35 goals (La Familia FC 1.52 · Union Cocle Reserves 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in La Familia FC vs Union Cocle Reserves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.