Football · Panama Liga Prom · 05/09, 23:00

Prediction: Rayados de Chiriqui vs Udelas FC

Team pages: Rayados de Chiriqui · Udelas FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Rayados de Chiriqui1.57

Udelas FC1.6

1X2

37% 26% 38%

Rayados de Chiriqui Draw Udelas FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rayados de Chiriqui 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLDL

Udelas FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Rayados de Chiriqui 3–1–2 Udelas FC (6 last)

Rayados de Chiriqui1-0Udelas FC
Udelas FC3-1Rayados de Chiriqui
Udelas FC1-2Rayados de Chiriqui
Udelas FC2-1Rayados de Chiriqui
Rayados de Chiriqui5-0Udelas FC
Udelas FC0-0Rayados de Chiriqui

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rayados de Chiriqui 1498 · Udelas FC 1547

	Rayados de Chiriqui	Draw	Udelas FC
Our model	37%	26%	38%
Market	37%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Udelas FC (rating 1498 vs 1547).
H2H favours Rayados de Chiriqui: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rayados de Chiriqui	Udelas FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/43/43%	63/25/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.8	6.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +3’	2.45	3.50	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rayados de Chiriqui 3–1–2 Udelas FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	Rayados de Chiriqui	1-0	Udelas FC
07/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Rayados de Chiriqui
15/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Rayados de Chiriqui
23/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Rayados de Chiriqui
08/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Rayados de Chiriqui	5-0 HT 0-0	Udelas FC
24/08/24 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Rayados de Chiriqui

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	6	5	0	1	17	3	15
2	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	6	4	2	0	13	8	14
3	Udelas FC	6	4	0	2	13	7	12
4	SD Atletico Nacional	7	3	0	4	14	18	9
5	San Francisco Reserves	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
6	Union Cocle Reserves	6	1	1	4	8	14	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rayados de Chiriqui	Udelas FC
Aguilas de la U	0-4 L	0-2 L
Bocas	2-2 D	3-1 W
CD Universitario Reserves	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rayados de Chiriqui

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-4	–	–	L
23/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	1	10	D
13/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-3	2-5	11	8	L
08/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
25/07	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
10/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
07/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
03/05	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
25/04	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	3-4	7	8	L

Udelas FC

WLWDLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
14/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	3	8	W
05/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	3-1	9	8	W
01/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
25/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	6	10	D
15/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
07/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rayados de Chiriqui vs Udelas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Udelas FC win (38%). Probabilities: Rayados de Chiriqui 37%, draw 26%, Udelas FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Rayados de Chiriqui vs Udelas FC?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Rayados de Chiriqui 1.57 · Udelas FC 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rayados de Chiriqui vs Udelas FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.