Football · Panama Liga Prom · 05/09, 23:00

Prediction: Herrera FC Reserves vs Aguilas de la U

Team pages: Herrera FC Reserves · Aguilas de la U

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

Herrera FC Reserves1.07

Aguilas de la U3.07

1X2

8% 12% 80%

Herrera FC Reserves Draw Aguilas de la U

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Herrera FC Reserves 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWLL

Aguilas de la U 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Herrera FC Reserves 1–5 Aguilas de la U (6 last)

Herrera FC Reserves0-5Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U6-0Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves0-9Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U1-0Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves1-2Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U2-3Herrera FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herrera FC Reserves 1429 · Aguilas de la U 1605

	Herrera FC Reserves	Draw	Aguilas de la U
Our model	9%	14%	76%
Market	6%	11%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1429 vs 1605).
H2H favours Aguilas de la U: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrera FC Reserves	Aguilas de la U
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.7	2.3 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

115.00

X8.50

21.11

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.75)1.82

2 (-2.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +2’	15.00	8.50	1.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC Reserves 1–0–5 Aguilas de la U

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-5	Aguilas de la U
21/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	6-0 HT 3-0	Herrera FC Reserves
11/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-9 HT 0-5	Aguilas de la U
30/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	1-0 HT 0-0	Herrera FC Reserves
04/03/23 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-2 HT 1-2	Aguilas de la U
27/02/23 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	2-3 HT 2-1	Herrera FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	6	5	0	1	17	3	15
2	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	6	4	2	0	13	8	14
3	Udelas FC	6	4	0	2	13	7	12
4	SD Atletico Nacional	7	3	0	4	14	18	9
5	San Francisco Reserves	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
6	Union Cocle Reserves	6	1	1	4	8	14	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrera FC Reserves	Aguilas de la U
Union Cocle Reserves	1-4 L	5-1 W
CD Universitario Reserves	1-3 L	0-0 D
Rayados de Chiriqui	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrera FC Reserves

LWLLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-4	5	8	L
21/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
16/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	5-1	4	6	W
08/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	1	8	W
02/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
25/07	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
02/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-5	–	–	L
26/04	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	2	3	L
18/04	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	0	9	L

Aguilas de la U

DWDDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
15/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
01/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
26/07	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-1	4	7	W
10/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
06/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
02/05	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	5-0	–	–	W
02/05	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrera FC Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aguilas de la U win (80%). Probabilities: Herrera FC Reserves 8%, draw 12%, Aguilas de la U 80%.

How many goals are expected in Herrera FC Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

The model expects 4.14 goals (Herrera FC Reserves 1.07 · Aguilas de la U 3.07), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrera FC Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.