Football · Panama Liga Prom · 05/09, 23:00

Prediction: CD Universitario Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Team pages: CD Universitario Reserves · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

CD Universitario Reserves1.72

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1.85

1X2

35% 25% 40%

CD Universitario Reserves Draw CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Universitario Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWDWL

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWDDWW

Head-to-head

CD Universitario Reserves 1–2–3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (6 last)

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves3-3CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves3-0CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-1CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves2-4CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves4-2CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves3-3CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario Reserves 1546 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1538

	CD Universitario Reserves	Draw	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Our model	35%	24%	41%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Universitario Reserves	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	3.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.9	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +15’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario Reserves 1–2–3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	3-3 HT 1-1	CD Universitario Reserves
17/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	3-0 HT 3-0	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
19/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	2-1	CD Universitario Reserves
15/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	2-4 HT 0-2	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
23/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	4-2 HT 1-1	CD Universitario Reserves
21/09/24 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	3-3 HT 2-1	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	6	5	0	1	17	3	15
2	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	6	4	2	0	13	8	14
3	Udelas FC	6	4	0	2	13	7	12
4	SD Atletico Nacional	7	3	0	4	14	18	9
5	San Francisco Reserves	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
6	Union Cocle Reserves	6	1	1	4	8	14	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Universitario Reserves	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
SD Atletico Nacional	1-3 L	4-2 W
La Familia FC	4-3 W	3-2 W
Udelas FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Aguilas de la U	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario Reserves

WDDLWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-3	1	7	L
22/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-3	4-3	15	9	W
15/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
08/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
24/07	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
15/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
10/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
06/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	2-1	4-3	4	8	W

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves

LDWDWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-2	4	9	W
22/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
07/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	2-1	7	7	W
02/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-2	7	8	D
25/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
18/04	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
10/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-2	3-4	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: CD Universitario Reserves 35%, draw 25%, CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 40%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

The model expects 3.57 goals (CD Universitario Reserves 1.72 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1.85), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.