Football · Panama Liga Prom · 06/09, 00:00

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido Reserves · Alianza FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

CD Arabe Unido Reserves2.21

Alianza FC Reserves1.04

1X2

63% 21% 16%

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Draw Alianza FC Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLWLDD

Alianza FC Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLDWDL

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4–2–0 Alianza FC Reserves (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido Reserves5-3Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves0-4CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves2-2Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves0-3CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves2-0Alianza FC Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves0-0Alianza FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1515 · Alianza FC Reserves 1493

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Draw	Alianza FC Reserves
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	63%	22%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Alianza FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	3.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.10

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.54 ★
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +32’	1.42	4.10	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +41’	1.54	3.83	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4–2–0 Alianza FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	5-3 HT 1-2	Alianza FC Reserves
04/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	0-4 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
08/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-2 HT 2-1	Alianza FC Reserves
21/09/24 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	0-3 HT 0-2	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
06/04/24 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Alianza FC Reserves
26/08/23 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Alianza FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tauro FC Reserves	7	4	2	1	13	6	14
2	Chorrillo	7	3	3	1	10	4	12
3	Potros Del Este	7	3	1	3	7	7	10
4	Plaza Amador Reserves	7	3	0	4	13	12	9
5	Alianza FC Reserves	6	1	2	3	5	11	5
6	San Martin FC	6	1	0	5	8	12	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Alianza FC Reserves
Chorrillo	0-0 D	0-0 D
Panama City FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Plaza Amador Reserves	4-4 D	1-4 L
San Martin FC	3-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
31/07	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
26/07	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
22/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	10	10	D
13/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
05/05	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Alianza FC Reserves

WWDWLLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
15/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
06/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
31/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
24/07	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-4	–	–	L
30/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
24/04	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	11	5	D
17/04	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (63%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido Reserves 63%, draw 21%, Alianza FC Reserves 16%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model expects 3.25 goals (CD Arabe Unido Reserves 2.21 · Alianza FC Reserves 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.