Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 02/09, 17:30

Prediction: HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2

Team pages: HJS · Tampereen Ilves 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

HJS1.61

Tampereen Ilves 21.81

1X2

34% 23% 42%

HJS Draw Tampereen Ilves 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

HJS 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWLLL

Tampereen Ilves 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLWLL

Head-to-head

HJS 2–2–2 Tampereen Ilves 2 (6 last)

HJS3-1Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 20-0HJS
Tampereen Ilves 22-1HJS
Tampereen Ilves 22-1HJS
HJS2-2Tampereen Ilves 2
Tampereen Ilves 21-3HJS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS 1503 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1507

	HJS	Draw	Tampereen Ilves 2
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HJS	Tampereen Ilves 2
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	2.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:47 +18’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HJS 2–2–2 Tampereen Ilves 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	3-1 HT 1-0	Tampereen Ilves 2
29/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	0-0 HT 0-0	HJS
09/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 HT 0-0	HJS
09/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 HT 2-0	HJS
06/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group B	HJS	2-2 HT 1-1	Tampereen Ilves 2
10/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampereen Ilves 2	1-3 HT 1-1	HJS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	19	13	5	1	57	18	44
2	AIFK	19	13	3	3	39	18	42
3	EPS	19	11	2	6	43	27	35
4	HJS	19	9	4	6	31	28	31
5	Tampereen Ilves 2	19	8	6	5	51	31	30
6	P-Iirot	19	8	4	7	31	26	28

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HJS	Tampereen Ilves 2
EPS	1-4 L	4-2 W
GrIFK	0-1 L	2-3 L
AIFK	1-0 W	0-1 L
MuSa	2-1 W	7-0 W
FC Honka	1-1 D	2-2 D
P-Iirot	0-3 L	1-2 L
NJS	3-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tampereen Ilves 2 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HJS

WLDWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	1-4	2	4	L
22/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
15/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
08/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
31/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	5-3	5	0	W
18/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
13/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
04/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
27/06	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-0	3	2	W

Tampereen Ilves 2

WDWDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
22/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-3	8	5	L
15/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	4-0	13	1	W
08/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
04/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
24/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
18/07	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	0	4	D
14/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	6-2	5	6	W
10/07	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
05/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	4-2	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tampereen Ilves 2 win (42%). Probabilities: HJS 34%, draw 23%, Tampereen Ilves 2 42%.

How many goals are expected in HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model expects 3.42 goals (HJS 1.61 · Tampereen Ilves 2 1.81), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS vs Tampereen Ilves 2?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.