Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 02/09, 17:30

Prediction: EPS vs FC Honka

Team pages: EPS · FC Honka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

EPS1.39

FC Honka2.38

1X2

21% 21% 59%

EPS Draw FC Honka

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

EPS 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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FC Honka 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

EPS 1–1 FC Honka (2 last)

EPS3-2FC Honka
FC Honka2-1EPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EPS 1573 · FC Honka 1569

	EPS	Draw	FC Honka
Our model	21%	21%	59%
Market	21%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	EPS	FC Honka
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.4	2.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	3.6 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.33

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +8’	4.33	4.33	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · EPS 1–0–1 FC Honka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	EPS	3-2 HT 2-1	FC Honka
22/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Honka	2-1 HT 1-0	EPS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	19	13	5	1	57	18	44
2	AIFK	19	13	3	3	39	18	42
3	EPS	19	11	2	6	43	27	35
4	HJS	19	9	4	6	31	28	31
5	Tampereen Ilves 2	19	8	6	5	51	31	30
6	P-Iirot	19	8	4	7	31	26	28

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	EPS	FC Honka
HJS	4-1 W	1-1 D
AIFK	3-2 W	1-0 W
EBK	5-1 W	2-0 W
MuSa	2-0 W	7-1 W
NJS	2-1 W	7-0 W
P-Iirot	2-0 W	1-1 D
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-4 L	2-2 D
GrIFK	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EPS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	4-1	7	4	W
22/08	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	3-2	5	8	W
08/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	5-1	4	5	W
01/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
25/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
18/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
11/07	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-3	2-4	6	5	L
27/06	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-3	7	3	L

FC Honka

WWDDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
01/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
25/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	9	6	W
18/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
13/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
04/07	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	7-1	5	3	W
26/06	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	1-0	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EPS vs FC Honka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Honka win (59%). Probabilities: EPS 21%, draw 21%, FC Honka 59%.

How many goals are expected in EPS vs FC Honka?

The model expects 3.76 goals (EPS 1.39 · FC Honka 2.38), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in EPS vs FC Honka?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.