Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 02/09, 18:00

Prediction: P-Iirot vs AIFK

Team pages: P-Iirot · AIFK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

P-Iirot1.14

AIFK1.53

1X2

28% 26% 46%

P-Iirot Draw AIFK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

P-Iirot 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWLLD

AIFK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

P-Iirot 3–3 AIFK (6 last)

P-Iirot1-2AIFK
AIFK2-0P-Iirot
AIFK4-6P-Iirot
AIFK0-3P-Iirot
P-Iirot4-0AIFK
P-Iirot2-3AIFK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · P-Iirot 1506 · AIFK 1551

	P-Iirot	Draw	AIFK
Our model	27%	28%	45%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AIFK (rating 1506 vs 1551).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	P-Iirot	AIFK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	3.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:42 +23’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · P-Iirot 3–0–3 AIFK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	P-Iirot	1-2 HT 1-1	AIFK
04/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group B	AIFK	2-0 HT 1-0	P-Iirot
06/05/25 Finland Cup	AIFK	4-6 HT 1-3	P-Iirot
09/09/22 Finland Kolmonen	AIFK	0-3 HT 0-1	P-Iirot
27/05/22 Finland Kolmonen	P-Iirot	4-0 HT 2-0	AIFK
24/09/21 Finland Kolmonen	P-Iirot	2-3 HT 0-1	AIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Honka	19	13	5	1	57	18	44
2	AIFK	19	13	3	3	39	18	42
3	EPS	19	11	2	6	43	27	35
4	HJS	19	9	4	6	31	28	31
5	Tampereen Ilves 2	19	8	6	5	51	31	30
6	P-Iirot	19	8	4	7	31	26	28

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	P-Iirot	AIFK
FC Honka	1-1 D	0-1 L
GrIFK	2-0 W	1-0 W
NJS	1-0 W	2-1 W
Tampereen Ilves 2	2-1 W	1-0 W
EBK	1-1 D	6-1 W
EPS	0-2 L	2-3 L
HJS	3-0 W	0-1 L
MuSa	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

P-Iirot

DWLDWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
22/08	AIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/08	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
08/08	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
01/08	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-0	2-1	5	2	W
18/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
11/07	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
27/06	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D

AIFK

LWDWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
22/08	P-Iirot Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
15/08	EPS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-3	2-3	2	8	L
08/08	MuSa Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
31/07	HJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
24/07	NJS Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
17/07	GrIFK Finland Kakkonen Group B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/07	Tampereen Ilves 2 Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/07	EBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	3-1	6-1	3	4	W
26/06	FC Honka Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in P-Iirot vs AIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AIFK win (46%). Probabilities: P-Iirot 28%, draw 26%, AIFK 46%.

How many goals are expected in P-Iirot vs AIFK?

The model expects 2.67 goals (P-Iirot 1.14 · AIFK 1.53), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in P-Iirot vs AIFK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.