Football · Finland Kakkonen Group B · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: EBK vs GrIFK

Team pages: EBK · GrIFK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
EBK1.87
GrIFK1.54
1X2
45% 23% 32%
EBK Draw GrIFK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
EBK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLLWLDDW
GrIFK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWWDLD
Head-to-head
EBK 1–1–1 GrIFK (3 last)
  • GrIFK1-1EBK
  • GrIFK2-1EBK
  • EBK1-0GrIFK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK 1496 · GrIFK 1461
EBKDrawGrIFK
Our model45%24%31%
Market46%22%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBKGrIFK
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.81.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.81.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.85.5 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK 1–1–1 GrIFK

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/09/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK1-1
HT 0-0
EBK
31/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
GrIFK2-1
HT 0-0
EBK
24/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group B
EBK1-0
HT 1-0
GrIFK

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group B · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GrIFK 21759 263526
2 EBK 215511 334520
3 MuSa 213513 216114
4 NJS 212118 16597

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBKGrIFK
NJS 4-0 W 1-2 L
MuSa 1-1 D 1-1 D
FC Honka 0-2 L 1-2 L
HJS 3-5 L 1-0 W
P-Iirot 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK

WDLLLWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-0 4-0 42 W
12/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 45 D
04/09 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-1 46 D
22/08 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 15 L
15/08 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 4-0 –– W
08/08 EPS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-5 45 L
31/07 GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-2 1010 L
24/07 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
2-1 3-5 50 L
18/07 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-1 1-1 74 D
11/07 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 3-1 134 W

GrIFK

LLLWLWWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 MuSa
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-1 45 D
12/09 NJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
1-0 1-2 54 L
04/09 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-1 66 D
22/08 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
3-1 3-2 25 W
15/08 HJS
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 1-0 56 W
08/08 P-Iirot
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-2 46 L
31/07 EBK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-0 2-1 510 W
25/07 FC Honka
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 1-2 16 L
17/07 AIFK
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-1 0-1 67 L
14/07 Tampereen Ilves 2
Finland Kakkonen Group B
0-2 2-6 16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK vs GrIFK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EBK win (45%). Probabilities: EBK 45%, draw 23%, GrIFK 32%.

How many goals are expected in EBK vs GrIFK?

The model expects 3.41 goals (EBK 1.87 · GrIFK 1.54), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK vs GrIFK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.