Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia II

Team pages: TP-47 · SJK Akatemia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

TP-471.91

SJK Akatemia II1.5

1X2

47% 23% 30%

TP-47 Draw SJK Akatemia II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

TP-47 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWWLW

SJK Akatemia II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLDDLLWW

Head-to-head

TP-47 2–2–2 SJK Akatemia II (6 last)

SJK Akatemia II1-3TP-47
SJK Akatemia II0-0TP-47
TP-472-2SJK Akatemia II
TP-472-6SJK Akatemia II
TP-474-3SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II7-1TP-47

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP-47 1493 · SJK Akatemia II 1467

	TP-47	Draw	SJK Akatemia II
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TP-47	SJK Akatemia II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:33 +23’	1.91	4.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-47 2–2–2 SJK Akatemia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	1-3 HT 1-2	TP-47
12/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	0-0 HT 0-0	TP-47
03/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	2-2 HT 1-0	SJK Akatemia II
07/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	2-6 HT 2-1	SJK Akatemia II
01/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	4-3 HT 2-2	SJK Akatemia II
26/04/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	7-1 HT 4-0	TP-47

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	21	8	5	8	32	37	29
2	SJK Akatemia II	21	7	4	10	35	48	25
3	FC Vaajakoski	21	7	3	11	37	47	24
4	JS Hercules	21	7	3	11	35	49	24

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TP-47	SJK Akatemia II
FC Vaajakoski	1-0 W	2-1 W
JS Hercules	0-1 L	5-3 W
JBK	0-4 L	0-1 L
Narpes Kraft	2-1 W	2-2 D
Huima/Urho	0-4 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SJK Akatemia II (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP-47

DLLLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
22/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	4-2	9	5	W
16/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-4	7	7	L
08/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
01/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
23/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
18/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
12/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	0	4	D

SJK Akatemia II

DLLLDDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	5-3	3	6	W
12/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
06/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
22/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L
12/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-47 win (47%). Probabilities: TP-47 47%, draw 23%, SJK Akatemia II 30%.

How many goals are expected in TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model expects 3.41 goals (TP-47 1.91 · SJK Akatemia II 1.5), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TP-47 vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.