Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: SJK Akatemia II vs JS Hercules

Team pages: SJK Akatemia II · JS Hercules

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.62Total

SJK Akatemia II3.31

JS Hercules1.31

1X2

81% 11% 8%

SJK Akatemia II Draw JS Hercules

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SJK Akatemia II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLWWW

JS Hercules 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLWLD

Head-to-head

SJK Akatemia II 3–2–1 JS Hercules (6 last)

JS Hercules3-5SJK Akatemia II
JS Hercules2-2SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II3-0JS Hercules
JS Hercules0-6SJK Akatemia II
SJK Akatemia II2-4JS Hercules
SJK Akatemia II4-4JS Hercules

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SJK Akatemia II 1497 · JS Hercules 1484

	SJK Akatemia II	Draw	JS Hercules
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	85%	10%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 4.62 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK Akatemia II: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK Akatemia II	JS Hercules
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.6	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.06

X9.50

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.75)1.82

2 (+2.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.90

Under 4.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +13’	1.06	9.50	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK Akatemia II 3–2–1 JS Hercules

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	3-5 HT 1-2	SJK Akatemia II
09/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	2-2 HT 1-1	SJK Akatemia II
27/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	3-0 HT 2-0	JS Hercules
19/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	0-6 HT 0-1	SJK Akatemia II
18/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	2-4 HT 1-1	JS Hercules
04/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	4-4 HT 3-4	JS Hercules

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	22	8	5	9	32	41	29
2	SJK Akatemia II	22	8	4	10	39	48	28
3	FC Vaajakoski	22	7	4	11	39	49	25
4	JS Hercules	22	7	4	11	37	51	25

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK Akatemia II	JS Hercules
TP-47	4-0 W	1-0 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-1 W	2-2 D
JBK	0-1 L	5-3 W
Narpes Kraft	2-2 D	2-3 L
VPS-J	2-6 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SJK Akatemia II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK Akatemia II

LLLDDLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	4-0	8	5	W
19/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	5-3	3	6	W
12/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
06/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
22/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L
19/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	2-6	1	7	L

JS Hercules

WWLDLWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-2	4	4	D
19/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	3-5	7	6	L
11/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
22/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
15/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
09/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
23/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-3	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK Akatemia II vs JS Hercules?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK Akatemia II win (81%). Probabilities: SJK Akatemia II 81%, draw 11%, JS Hercules 8%.

How many goals are expected in SJK Akatemia II vs JS Hercules?

The model expects 4.62 goals (SJK Akatemia II 3.31 · JS Hercules 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK Akatemia II vs JS Hercules?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.