Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Vaajakoski vs SJK Akatemia II

Team pages: FC Vaajakoski · SJK Akatemia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

FC Vaajakoski1.23

SJK Akatemia II2.77

1X2

14% 16% 70%

FC Vaajakoski Draw SJK Akatemia II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vaajakoski 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWLLDL

SJK Akatemia II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLLWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Vaajakoski 0–3 SJK Akatemia II (3 last)

SJK Akatemia II2-1FC Vaajakoski
SJK Akatemia II3-0FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski0-2SJK Akatemia II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vaajakoski 1446 · SJK Akatemia II 1501

	FC Vaajakoski	Draw	SJK Akatemia II
Our model	14%	17%	69%
Market	15%	15%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SJK Akatemia II (rating 1446 vs 1501).
H2H favours SJK Akatemia II: 3-0-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vaajakoski	SJK Akatemia II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.3	1.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

16.00

X6.00

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.95

2 (-1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.95

Under 4.51.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00
X	4.20 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00
2	2.00 → 1.28▼	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:15 +7’	2.63	4.20	2.00
10:55 +3’	3.20▲	4.50▲	1.73▼
16:00 +11’	3.30▲	4.75▲	1.67▼
02:33 +28’	3.80▲	5.00▲	1.53▼
10:24 +8’	4.50▲	5.25▲	1.44▼
12:49 +9’	6.00▲	6.00▲	1.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +13’	3.56	4.76	1.61
21:38 +65’	3.59▲	4.61▼	1.62▲
02:05 +57’	3.55▼	4.59▼	1.63▲
08:52 +17’	3.60▲	4.85▲	1.59▼
10:32 +1’	5.33▲	5.54▲	1.34▼
12:43 +14’	5.84▲	5.89▲	1.27▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaajakoski 0–0–3 SJK Akatemia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Vaajakoski
30/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	SJK Akatemia II	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Vaajakoski
17/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	0-2 HT 0-0	SJK Akatemia II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	23	9	5	9	37	41	32
2	SJK Akatemia II	23	8	4	11	40	50	28
3	JS Hercules	23	8	4	11	39	52	28
4	FC Vaajakoski	23	7	4	12	39	54	25

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vaajakoski	SJK Akatemia II
TP-47	0-5 L	4-0 W
JS Hercules	2-2 D	1-2 L
GBK	1-1 D	2-4 L
JBK	0-4 L	0-1 L
Narpes Kraft	3-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vaajakoski (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vaajakoski

WLWDLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
26/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-2	5	4	D
19/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
12/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
06/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
22/08	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-4	7	5	L
15/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
08/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
01/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W

SJK Akatemia II

LLDDLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
27/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	4-0	8	5	W
19/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	5-3	3	6	W
12/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
06/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
22/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-4	6	1	L
25/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vaajakoski vs SJK Akatemia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SJK Akatemia II win (70%). Probabilities: FC Vaajakoski 14%, draw 16%, SJK Akatemia II 70%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vaajakoski vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model expects 4 goals (FC Vaajakoski 1.23 · SJK Akatemia II 2.77), with a 57% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vaajakoski vs SJK Akatemia II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.