Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: JS Hercules vs TP-47

Team pages: JS Hercules · TP-47

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

JS Hercules2.57

TP-471.07

1X2

69% 17% 13%

JS Hercules Draw TP-47

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

JS Hercules 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWLDW

TP-47 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

JS Hercules 3–1–2 TP-47 (6 last)

TP-470-1JS Hercules
TP-470-1JS Hercules
JS Hercules1-2TP-47
JS Hercules1-1TP-47
TP-471-5JS Hercules
JS Hercules1-5TP-47

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JS Hercules 1489 · TP-47 1503

	JS Hercules	Draw	TP-47
Our model	69%	18%	13%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours JS Hercules: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JS Hercules	TP-47
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 1.28▼	Pinn 1.32
X	3.80 → 5.50▲	Pinn 5.80 ★
2	2.50 → 6.50▲	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:16 +6’	2.20	3.80	2.50
10:55 +3’	1.95▼	3.90▲	2.90▲
15:31 +39’	1.70▼	4.10▲	3.60▲
22:37 +6’	1.65▼	4.20▲	3.75▲
12:46 +11’	1.28▼	5.50▲	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:15 +55’	1.69	4.36	3.67
16:26 +377’	1.72▲	4.25▼	3.62▼
08:54 +14’	1.58▼	4.52▲	4.22▲
10:32 +1’	1.33▼	5.52▲	6.18▲
12:05 +52’	1.32▼	5.80▲	6.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JS Hercules 3–1–2 TP-47

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	0-1 HT 0-1	JS Hercules
23/07/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	0-1 HT 0-0	JS Hercules
09/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	1-2 HT 0-0	TP-47
28/02/26 Europe Friendlies	JS Hercules	1-1 HT 0-1	TP-47
24/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	1-5 HT 1-2	JS Hercules
22/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JS Hercules	1-5 HT 0-2	TP-47

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	TP-47	23	9	5	9	37	41	32
2	SJK Akatemia II	23	8	4	11	40	50	28
3	JS Hercules	23	8	4	11	39	52	28
4	FC Vaajakoski	23	7	4	12	39	54	25

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JS Hercules	TP-47
SJK Akatemia II	2-1 W	0-4 L
FC Vaajakoski	2-2 D	5-0 W
Narpes Kraft	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TP-47 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JS Hercules

WLDLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
26/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-2	4	4	D
19/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	3-5	7	6	L
11/09	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
22/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
15/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
09/08	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
01/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
23/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	3	7	W

TP-47

LLWLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
27/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-4	0	5	L
19/09	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/09	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
22/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	4-2	9	5	W
16/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-4	7	7	L
08/08	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
01/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
23/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JS Hercules vs TP-47?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JS Hercules win (69%). Probabilities: JS Hercules 69%, draw 17%, TP-47 13%.

How many goals are expected in JS Hercules vs TP-47?

The model expects 3.64 goals (JS Hercules 2.57 · TP-47 1.07), with a 58% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JS Hercules vs TP-47?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.