Football · Panama Liga Prom · 29/08, 02:00
Prediction: La Familia FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Team pages: La Familia FC · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
La Familia FC1.14
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.39
1X2
La Familia FC
Draw
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
La Familia FC
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
La Familia FC
0–3
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
(3 last)
- La Familia FC1-5CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- La Familia FC0-4CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves3-0La Familia FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · La Familia FC 1393 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1540
| La Familia FC | Draw | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| Market | 16% | 19% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (rating 1393 vs 1540).
- H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 3-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Familia FC | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 29/43/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 3.4 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.5 / 0.4 | 5.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Familia FC 0–0–3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 1-5 HT 0-3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 22/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 07/03/25 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 3-0 HT 0-0 | La Familia FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Udelas FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | SD Atletico Nacional | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 5 | San Francisco Reserves | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Familia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 03/05 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 02/04 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 04/04 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Familia FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (64%). Probabilities: La Familia FC 16%, draw 19%, CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 64%.
How many goals are expected in La Familia FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?
The model expects 3.53 goals (La Familia FC 1.14 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 2.39), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in La Familia FC vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.