Football · Australia A-League Women · 07/11, 05:00
Prediction: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)
Team pages: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) · Newcastle Jets (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)2.2
Newcastle Jets (W)1.3
1X2
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
Draw
Newcastle Jets (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Jets (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
5–1
Newcastle Jets (W)
(6 last)
- Newcastle Jets (W)1-2Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
- Central Coast Mariners FC (W)4-1Newcastle Jets (W)
- Newcastle Jets (W)1-2Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
- Central Coast Mariners FC (W)5-1Newcastle Jets (W)
- Newcastle Jets (W)0-2Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
- Central Coast Mariners FC (W)0-1Newcastle Jets (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 1557 · Newcastle Jets (W) 1423
| Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | Draw | Newcastle Jets (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Coast Mariners FC (W) (rating 1557 vs 1423).
- H2H favours Central Coast Mariners FC (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | Newcastle Jets (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 5–0–1 Newcastle Jets (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Australia A-League Women | Newcastle Jets (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) |
| 07/12/25 Australia A-League Women | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Newcastle Jets (W) |
| 19/04/25 Australia A-League Women | Newcastle Jets (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) |
| 01/02/25 Australia A-League Women | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Newcastle Jets (W) |
| 28/01/24 Australia A-League Women | Newcastle Jets (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) |
| 14/10/23 Australia A-League Women | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Newcastle Jets (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Perth Glory (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Sydney FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Adelaide United (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 | Canberra United (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | Newcastle Jets (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Brisbane Roar (W) | 4-2 W | 2-4 L |
| Sydney FC (W) | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Perth Glory (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Melbourne City (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Coast Mariners FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Canberra Utd (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/10 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/03 | Canberra United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/03 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/02 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/02 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/01 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Newcastle Jets (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/02 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/02 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/02 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/02 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Coast Mariners FC (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 57%, draw 22%, Newcastle Jets (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Central Coast Mariners FC (W) 2.2 · Newcastle Jets (W) 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners FC (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.