Football · Australia A-League Women · 14/11, 05:00
Prediction: Melbourne City (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)
Team pages: Melbourne City (W) · Newcastle Jets (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Melbourne City (W)2.29
Newcastle Jets (W)1.14
1X2
Melbourne City (W)
Draw
Newcastle Jets (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Melbourne City (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Jets (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Melbourne City (W)
5–1
Newcastle Jets (W)
(6 last)
- Newcastle Jets (W)1-2Melbourne City (W)
- Melbourne City (W)1-3Newcastle Jets (W)
- Melbourne City (W)4-1Newcastle Jets (W)
- Newcastle Jets (W)0-2Melbourne City (W)
- Melbourne City (W)3-0Newcastle Jets (W)
- Newcastle Jets (W)0-3Melbourne City (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melbourne City (W) (rating 1592 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Melbourne City (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Melbourne City (W) | Newcastle Jets (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne City (W) 5–0–1 Newcastle Jets (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Australia A-League Women | Newcastle Jets (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 16/01/26 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Newcastle Jets (W) |
| 11/04/25 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Newcastle Jets (W) |
| 08/02/25 Australia A-League Women | Newcastle Jets (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Melbourne City (W) |
| 28/04/24 Australia A-League Women | Melbourne City (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Newcastle Jets (W) |
| 21/04/24 Australia A-League Women | Newcastle Jets (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Melbourne City (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Perth Glory (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Sydney FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Canberra United (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Adelaide United (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Melbourne City (W) | Newcastle Jets (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney FC (W) | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Melbourne Victory (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Adelaide United (W) | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne City (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melbourne City (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/03 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Canberra United (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 20/02 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Newcastle Jets (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 01/11 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Sydney FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/02 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/02 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/02 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melbourne City (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Melbourne City (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Melbourne City (W) 62%, draw 21%, Newcastle Jets (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Melbourne City (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Melbourne City (W) 2.29 · Newcastle Jets (W) 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Melbourne City (W) vs Newcastle Jets (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.