Football · Australia A-League Women · 15/11, 02:00
Prediction: Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Sydney FC (W)
Team pages: Wellington Phoenix (W) · Sydney FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Wellington Phoenix (W)1.78
Sydney FC (W)1.25
1X2
Wellington Phoenix (W)
Draw
Sydney FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Wellington Phoenix (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Sydney FC (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wellington Phoenix (W)
3–3
Sydney FC (W)
(6 last)
- Sydney FC (W)1-3Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)7-0Sydney FC (W)
- Sydney FC (W)2-1Wellington Phoenix (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)2-0Sydney FC (W)
- Wellington Phoenix (W)2-4Sydney FC (W)
- Sydney FC (W)1-0Wellington Phoenix (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wellington Phoenix (W) | Sydney FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Phoenix (W) 3–0–3 Sydney FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia A-League Women | Sydney FC (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 20/12/25 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Sydney FC (W) |
| 15/03/25 Australia A-League Women | Sydney FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
| 21/12/24 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC (W) |
| 17/03/24 Australia A-League Women | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Sydney FC (W) |
| 29/12/23 Australia A-League Women | Sydney FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wellington Phoenix (W) |
Standings · Australia A-League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Perth Glory (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Wellington Phoenix (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Sydney FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Canberra United (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Adelaide United (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Newcastle Jets (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wellington Phoenix (W) | Sydney FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Melbourne Victory (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Melbourne City (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Brisbane Roar (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Central Coast Mariners FC (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wellington Phoenix (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | Perth Glory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 18/10 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/04 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/03 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Sydney FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | Melbourne City (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Adelaide United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 04/04 | Central Coast Mariners FC (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Melbourne Victory (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Wellington Phoenix (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/03 | Newcastle Jets (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/02 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/02 | Canberra United (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/02 | Brisbane Roar (W) Australia A-League Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Sydney FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wellington Phoenix (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Wellington Phoenix (W) 49%, draw 25%, Sydney FC (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Sydney FC (W)?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Wellington Phoenix (W) 1.78 · Sydney FC (W) 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix (W) vs Sydney FC (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.