Football · Hungary NB III · 26/08, 17:30

Prediction: Kispest Honved II vs Szegedi VSE

Team pages: Kispest Honved II · Szegedi VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Kispest Honved II1.56

Szegedi VSE1.56

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Kispest Honved II Draw Szegedi VSE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kispest Honved II 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDLLL

Szegedi VSE 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Kispest Honved II 2–2–0 Szegedi VSE (4 last)

Kispest Honved II2-1Szegedi VSE
Szegedi VSE2-2Kispest Honved II
Szegedi VSE1-1Kispest Honved II
Kispest Honved II4-0Szegedi VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kispest Honved II 1443 · Szegedi VSE 1428

	Kispest Honved II	Draw	Szegedi VSE
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kispest Honved II: 2-2-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kispest Honved II	Szegedi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2	1.8 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	11/33/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:55 +9’	2.40	3.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kispest Honved II 2–2–0 Szegedi VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	2-1 HT 0-1	Szegedi VSE
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	2-2 HT 1-1	Kispest Honved II
13/04/25 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	1-1 HT 0-0	Kispest Honved II
29/09/24 Hungary NB III	Kispest Honved II	4-0 HT 2-0	Szegedi VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	4	4	0	0	16	2	12
2	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	4	4	0	0	14	4	12
3	III Keruleti TUE	4	4	0	0	10	0	12
4	FC Dabas	4	3	0	1	9	8	9
5	Ujpest II	4	2	1	1	13	6	7
6	ESMTK	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
7	Szolnoki Mav FC	4	2	1	1	9	9	7
8	Vasas SC II	4	1	2	1	9	8	5
9	Csepel FC	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
10	Monori SE	4	1	1	2	6	7	4
11	Sandorfalvi SK	4	1	0	3	3	15	3
12	Bekescsabai Elore SE	4	0	2	2	2	6	2
13	Hodmezovasarhelyi	4	0	2	2	3	9	2
14	Szegedi VSE	4	0	1	3	5	8	1
15	Budapest Honved II	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
16	BKV Elore SC	4	0	0	4	2	15	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kispest Honved II	Szegedi VSE
Vasas SC II	0-3 L	1-1 D
FC Dabas	1-3 L	1-2 L
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	2-3 L	1-2 L
Csepel FC	1-3 L	2-3 L
Monori SE	1-0 W	2-3 L
Tiszafoldvar	1-0 W	2-1 W
III Keruleti TUE	0-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Szegedi VSE (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kispest Honved II

LLLWWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
09/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	2-2	2-3	8	6	L
26/07	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
24/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
17/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
10/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	8	W
03/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
26/04	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
19/04	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-4	0-4	2	3	L

Szegedi VSE

LWLLLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
24/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
17/05	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/05	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-3	8	2	L
03/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-2	4-5	6	9	L
26/04	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
19/04	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-4	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kispest Honved II vs Szegedi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kispest Honved II win (37%). Probabilities: Kispest Honved II 37%, draw 26%, Szegedi VSE 37%.

How many goals are expected in Kispest Honved II vs Szegedi VSE?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Kispest Honved II 1.56 · Szegedi VSE 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kispest Honved II vs Szegedi VSE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.