Football · Hungary NB III · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: PEAC FC vs Paksi SE II

Team pages: PEAC FC · Paksi SE II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

PEAC FC2.23

Paksi SE II1.39

1X2

55% 22% 22%

PEAC FC Draw Paksi SE II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

PEAC FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDDWWLWW

Paksi SE II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLDLLL

Head-to-head

PEAC FC 1–1–2 Paksi SE II (4 last)

Paksi SE II2-2PEAC FC
PEAC FC4-3Paksi SE II
PEAC FC0-3Paksi SE II
PEAC FC0-2Paksi SE II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PEAC FC 1534 · Paksi SE II 1434

	PEAC FC	Draw	Paksi SE II
Our model	56%	22%	23%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PEAC FC (rating 1534 vs 1434).
H2H favours Paksi SE II: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PEAC FC	Paksi SE II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.9 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +48’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PEAC FC 1–1–2 Paksi SE II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB III	Paksi SE II	2-2 HT 0-0	PEAC FC
21/09/25 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	4-3 HT 1-0	Paksi SE II
04/05/25 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Paksi SE II
29/09/23 Hungary NB III	PEAC FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Paksi SE II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	6	6	0	0	23	2	18
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	5	5	0	0	19	4	15
3	Budafoki MTE	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
4	PEAC FC	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
5	Ferencvarosi TC II	5	3	1	1	10	5	10
6	MTK Budapest II	5	3	0	2	17	7	9
7	Ivancsa	6	3	0	3	11	13	9
8	BFC Siofok	6	2	2	2	8	7	8
9	Dunaharaszti MTK	6	2	1	3	8	11	7
10	Majosi SE	6	2	1	3	10	14	7
11	Budaorsi SC	6	2	1	3	9	20	7
12	Erdi VSE	5	1	2	2	10	10	5
13	Paksi SE II	6	0	2	4	8	16	2
14	Sarbogard SE	6	0	1	5	2	14	1
15	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
16	Szekszardi	6	0	0	6	1	23	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PEAC FC	Paksi SE II
Szekszardi	1-0 W	2-3 L
BFC Siofok	2-1 W	1-3 L
Ivancsa	1-1 D	0-2 L
MTK Budapest II	1-3 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PEAC FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PEAC FC

LDLDDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	2-1	6-1	1	4	W
15/08	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
12/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	5	8	W
26/07	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
17/05	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
10/05	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
03/05	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/04	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	3	4	L

Paksi SE II

LWWLDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
26/08	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
15/08	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-3	1-3	8	4	L
26/07	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/05	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
10/05	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PEAC FC vs Paksi SE II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PEAC FC win (55%). Probabilities: PEAC FC 55%, draw 22%, Paksi SE II 22%.

How many goals are expected in PEAC FC vs Paksi SE II?

The model expects 3.62 goals (PEAC FC 2.23 · Paksi SE II 1.39), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PEAC FC vs Paksi SE II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.