Football · Hungary NB III · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: III Keruleti TUE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Team pages: III Keruleti TUE · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

III Keruleti TUE2.1

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II1.31

1X2

55% 23% 23%

III Keruleti TUE Draw Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

III Keruleti TUE 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

III Keruleti TUE 0–1–1 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II (2 last)

III Keruleti TUE1-1Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II3-1III Keruleti TUE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · III Keruleti TUE 1602 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1537

	III Keruleti TUE	Draw	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Our model	55%	23%	23%
Market	54%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours III Keruleti TUE (rating 1602 vs 1537).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	III Keruleti TUE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.8	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.9	3.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:42 +25’	1.65	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · III Keruleti TUE 0–1–1 Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	1-1 HT 1-1	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
31/08/25 Hungary NB III	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	3-1 HT 3-0	III Keruleti TUE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	6	6	0	0	21	2	18
2	III Keruleti TUE	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	6	4	1	1	16	10	13
4	Csepel FC	6	3	2	1	17	6	11
5	Ujpest II	6	3	2	1	17	9	11
6	ESMTK	6	3	2	1	14	8	11
7	FC Dabas	6	3	1	2	12	12	10
8	Szolnoki Mav FC	6	2	3	1	14	14	9
9	Vasas SC II	6	2	2	2	12	9	8
10	Monori SE	6	2	2	2	11	9	8
11	Kispest Honved II	6	1	2	3	12	11	5
12	Sandorfalvi SK	6	1	0	5	4	23	3
13	Bekescsabai Elore SE	6	0	3	3	5	11	3
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	6	0	3	3	6	15	3
15	Szegedi VSE	6	0	2	4	9	19	2
16	BKV Elore SC	6	0	1	5	5	26	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	III Keruleti TUE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II
Vasas SC II	0-3 L	1-3 L
Kispest Honved II	3-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

III Keruleti TUE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
26/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
09/08	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
25/07	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
24/05	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-2	6-3	–	–	W
17/05	ESMTK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	2	8	W
10/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	2	5	W
03/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	1	5	W

Szeged-Csanad Grosics II

LDWLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
26/08	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	–	5-0	–	–	W
12/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	2-2	3-2	7	6	W
26/07	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
24/05	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-3	5	4	L
16/05	Martfui LSE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-0	5	2	W
10/05	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
02/05	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in III Keruleti TUE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a III Keruleti TUE win (55%). Probabilities: III Keruleti TUE 55%, draw 23%, Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 23%.

How many goals are expected in III Keruleti TUE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

The model expects 3.42 goals (III Keruleti TUE 2.1 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics II 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in III Keruleti TUE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.