Football · Hungary NB III · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Monori SE vs BKV Elore SC

Team pages: Monori SE · BKV Elore SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.17Total

Monori SE3.09

BKV Elore SC1.09

1X2

78% 13% 8%

Monori SE Draw BKV Elore SC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Monori SE 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDLWWD

BKV Elore SC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Monori SE 1–2–3 BKV Elore SC (6 last)

BKV Elore SC2-1Monori SE
Monori SE2-2BKV Elore SC
Monori SE1-0BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC3-0Monori SE
Monori SE1-2BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC2-2Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monori SE 1465 · BKV Elore SC 1417

	Monori SE	Draw	BKV Elore SC
Our model	76%	14%	9%
Market	80%	12%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monori SE (rating 1465 vs 1417).
H2H favours BKV Elore SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monori SE	BKV Elore SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.5 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/44/44%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.9	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.14

X7.50

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +8’	1.14	7.50	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Monori SE 1–2–3 BKV Elore SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	2-1 HT 0-0	Monori SE
09/11/25 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-2 HT 2-0	BKV Elore SC
18/08/24 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	1-0 HT 0-0	BKV Elore SC
26/11/23 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	3-0 HT 1-0	Monori SE
02/08/23 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	1-2 HT 0-1	BKV Elore SC
04/06/17 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	2-2 HT 2-1	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	6	6	0	0	21	2	18
2	III Keruleti TUE	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
3	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	6	4	1	1	16	10	13
4	Csepel FC	6	3	2	1	17	6	11
5	Ujpest II	6	3	2	1	17	9	11
6	ESMTK	6	3	2	1	14	8	11
7	FC Dabas	6	3	1	2	12	12	10
8	Szolnoki Mav FC	6	2	3	1	14	14	9
9	Vasas SC II	6	2	2	2	12	9	8
10	Monori SE	6	2	2	2	11	9	8
11	Kispest Honved II	6	1	2	3	12	11	5
12	Sandorfalvi SK	6	1	0	5	4	23	3
13	Bekescsabai Elore SE	6	0	3	3	5	11	3
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	6	0	3	3	6	15	3
15	Szegedi VSE	6	0	2	4	9	19	2
16	BKV Elore SC	6	0	1	5	5	26	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monori SE	BKV Elore SC
Hodmezovasarhelyi	4-1 W	2-2 D
Csepel FC	0-0 D	1-9 L
ESMTK	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Monori SE (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monori SE

LLDLLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L
08/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
26/07	ESMTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	2	8	L
07/06	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	5	8	L
31/05	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
24/05	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
17/05	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	4	5	L

BKV Elore SC

LLWWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
26/08	Csepel FC Hungary NB III	0-3	1-9	2	5	L
16/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
12/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-2	2-4	1	5	L
09/08	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
26/07	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-6	4	3	L
24/05	Monori SE Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
17/05	Tiszafoldvar Hungary NB III	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
10/05	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-3	2	5	L
03/05	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monori SE vs BKV Elore SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Monori SE win (78%). Probabilities: Monori SE 78%, draw 13%, BKV Elore SC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Monori SE vs BKV Elore SC?

The model expects 4.17 goals (Monori SE 3.09 · BKV Elore SC 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Monori SE vs BKV Elore SC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.