Football · Kenya Premier League · 15/11, 11:45

Prediction: Administration Police FC vs Posta Rangers

Team pages: Administration Police FC · Posta Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Administration Police FC1.38
Posta Rangers0.69
1X2
53% 29% 18%
Administration Police FC Draw Posta Rangers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Administration Police FC 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DDDDDLDWWD
Posta Rangers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLLWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Administration Police FC 1515 · Posta Rangers 1498
Administration Police FCDrawPosta Rangers
Our model52%30%17%
Market54%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Administration Police FCPosta Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.81.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/57/0%33/56/11%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 3.70.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 02.9 / 0.3

Standings · Kenya Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gor Mahia 6411 9513
1 KCB 6411 9513
3 AFC Leopards 6240 4110
4 Administration Police FC 6231 659
5 Shabana FC 6231 549
6 Mara Sugar FC 6231 779
7 3K FC 6231 789
8 Muranga Seal 6222 13118
9 Bandari FC 6141 337
10 Posta Rangers 6213 597
11 Tusker 4202 646
12 Migori Youth 5131 546
13 APS Bomet 6132 436
14 Ulinzi Stars 6132 576
15 Nairobi United 6051 785
16 Kakamega Homeboyz 5122 465
16 Mathare United 6123 465
18 Mombasa United 6015 4111

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAdministration Police FCPosta Rangers
Shabana FC 1-0 W 0-1 L
Ulinzi Stars 1-0 W 0-1 L
Nairobi United 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Administration Police FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Administration Police FC

DDDDDLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenya Premier League
– 2-2 –– D
02/11 Shabana FC
Kenya Premier League
1-0 1-0 62 W
29/10 Ulinzi Stars
Kenya Premier League
1-0 1-0 63 W
25/10 Mombasa United
Kenya Premier League
– 0-0 –– D
20/10 AFC Leopards
Kenya Premier League
0-0 1-2 58 L
11/10 Migori Youth
Kenya Premier League
1-1 1-1 34 D
31/05 Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenya Premier League
– 1-1 –– D
27/05 Kariobangi Sharks
Kenya Premier League
0-0 1-1 21 D
24/05 Nairobi United
Kenya Premier League
0-0 0-0 26 D
10/05 Gor Mahia
Kenya Premier League
1-0 1-1 24 D

Posta Rangers

WDWLLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Mathare United
Kenya Premier League
1-0 2-1 32 W
02/11 3K FC
Kenya Premier League
0-0 1-2 12 L
28/10 Bandari FC
Kenya Premier League
0-0 0-0 14 D
23/10 KCB
Kenya Premier League
0-0 1-0 23 W
18/10 Muranga Seal
Kenya Premier League
0-3 1-5 34 L
10/10 Shabana FC
Kenya Premier League
0-0 0-1 54 L
31/05 Ulinzi Stars
Kenya Premier League
– 0-1 –– L
23/05 KCB
Kenya Premier League
0-0 1-0 62 W
16/05 Nairobi United
Kenya Premier League
2-1 2-2 25 D
11/05 Sofapaka FC
Kenya Premier League
1-0 3-0 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Administration Police FC vs Posta Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Administration Police FC win (53%). Probabilities: Administration Police FC 53%, draw 29%, Posta Rangers 18%.

How many goals are expected in Administration Police FC vs Posta Rangers?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Administration Police FC 1.38 · Posta Rangers 0.69), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Administration Police FC vs Posta Rangers?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.