Prediction: Kakamega Homeboyz vs KCB
Team pages: Kakamega Homeboyz · KCB
- KCB1-1Kakamega Homeboyz
- Kakamega Homeboyz1-1KCB
- Kakamega Homeboyz2-2KCB
- KCB4-1Kakamega Homeboyz
- KCB1-0Kakamega Homeboyz
- KCB1-2Kakamega Homeboyz
| Kakamega Homeboyz | Draw | KCB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KCB (rating 1468 vs 1537).
- H2H favours KCB: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kakamega Homeboyz | KCB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/29/57% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kakamega Homeboyz 1–3–2 KCB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Kenya Premier League | KCB | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kakamega Homeboyz |
| 30/11/25 Kenya Premier League | Kakamega Homeboyz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | KCB |
| 30/03/25 Kenya Premier League | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2-2 HT 1-1 | KCB |
| 19/10/24 Kenya Premier League | KCB | 4-1 | Kakamega Homeboyz |
| 27/04/24 Kenya Cup | KCB | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kakamega Homeboyz |
| 11/02/24 Kenya Premier League | KCB | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kakamega Homeboyz |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 1 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Administration Police FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Mara Sugar FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | 3K FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | Muranga Seal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | Bandari FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kakamega Homeboyz | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Mombasa United | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: KCB (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kakamega Homeboyz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Kenya Police FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/11 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/10 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
KCB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 28/10 | Mombasa United Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/10 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kakamega Homeboyz vs KCB?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kakamega Homeboyz win (35%). Probabilities: Kakamega Homeboyz 35%, draw 30%, KCB 35%.
How many goals are expected in Kakamega Homeboyz vs KCB?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Kakamega Homeboyz 1.15 · KCB 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Kakamega Homeboyz vs KCB?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.