Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 27/08, 22:30
Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Independiente Juniors
Team pages: San Antonio FC Cotacachi · Independiente Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1.22
Independiente Juniors1.17
1X2
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Draw
Independiente Juniors
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Independiente Juniors
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
1–3–2
Independiente Juniors
(6 last)
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi0-0Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- Independiente Juniors6-2San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-4Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi2-0Independiente Juniors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1506 · Independiente Juniors 1568
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Draw | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Juniors (rating 1506 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Independiente Juniors: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.1 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1–3–2 Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Juniors |
| 01/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 29/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 6-2 HT 1-1 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 27/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Independiente Juniors |
| 17/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 19/03/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Juniors |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Club 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 34 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 17 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 31 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | Independiente Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| El Nacional | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Gualaceo SC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| LDU Portoviejo | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Independiente Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC Cotacachi win (36%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 36%, draw 30%, Independiente Juniors 34%.
How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Independiente Juniors?
The model expects 2.4 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1.22 · Independiente Juniors 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Independiente Juniors?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.