Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 03/09, 22:30

Prediction: Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Team pages: Vinotinto Ecuador · San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

Vinotinto Ecuador1.33

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.67

1X2

52% 29% 19%

Vinotinto Ecuador Draw San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Vinotinto Ecuador 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWDDW

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWWWDD

Head-to-head

Vinotinto Ecuador 0–4–2 San Antonio FC Cotacachi (6 last)

Vinotinto Ecuador0-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Vinotinto Ecuador
Vinotinto Ecuador0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1Vinotinto Ecuador
Vinotinto Ecuador0-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-0Vinotinto Ecuador

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vinotinto Ecuador 1495 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1522

	Vinotinto Ecuador	Draw	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Our model	51%	31%	18%
Market	53%	27%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Antonio FC Cotacachi: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vinotinto Ecuador	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.25

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +5’	1.67	3.25	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vinotinto Ecuador 0–4–2 San Antonio FC Cotacachi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	0-1 HT 0-1	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
07/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 1-1	Vinotinto Ecuador
13/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
23/07/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 0-0	Vinotinto Ecuador
21/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Vinotinto Ecuador	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
27/03/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-0 HT 1-0	Vinotinto Ecuador

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Juniors	23	10	10	3	28	16	40
2	Atletico FC Guayaquil	23	9	11	3	25	15	38
3	Club 9 de Octubre	23	9	11	3	23	15	38
4	CD Cuenca Jrs	23	9	8	6	21	24	35
5	Vinotinto Ecuador	23	9	7	7	26	17	34
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	23	7	11	5	24	21	32

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vinotinto Ecuador	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Atletico FC Guayaquil	1-0 W	1-4 L
CD Vargas Torres	0-0 D	1-1 D
LDU Portoviejo	0-0 D	4-2 W
CD Cuenca Jrs	2-0 W	0-1 L
Independiente Juniors	0-2 L	0-0 D
El Nacional	2-1 W	1-0 W
Gualaceo SC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Club 9 de Octubre	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC Cotacachi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vinotinto Ecuador

LLWWLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
22/08	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/08	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
08/08	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/07	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
23/07	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
15/07	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
11/07	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/07	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
09/06	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	1-2	1	7	L

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

WLDLDWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
13/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
22/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
16/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	1-4	2	6	L
11/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
03/07	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
10/06	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	3-1	4-2	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vinotinto Ecuador win (52%). Probabilities: Vinotinto Ecuador 52%, draw 29%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 19%.

How many goals are expected in Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model expects 2 goals (Vinotinto Ecuador 1.33 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.67), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Vinotinto Ecuador vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.