Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 04/09, 02:00

Prediction: Deportivo Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya

Team pages: Deportivo Santo Domingo · Cumbaya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.88Total

Deportivo Santo Domingo1.07

Cumbaya0.81

1X2

41% 32% 27%

Deportivo Santo Domingo Draw Cumbaya

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santo Domingo 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDWDDW

Cumbaya 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDDDDLD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santo Domingo 2–3–1 Cumbaya (6 last)

Cumbaya3-3CD Vargas Torres
CD Vargas Torres0-0Cumbaya
CD Vargas Torres4-1Cumbaya
Cumbaya1-1CD Vargas Torres
Cumbaya2-1CD Vargas Torres
CD Vargas Torres4-0Cumbaya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1514 · Cumbaya 1491

	Deportivo Santo Domingo	Draw	Cumbaya
Our model	40%	34%	26%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Santo Domingo: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santo Domingo	Cumbaya
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.90

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 1.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:49 +2’	2.15	2.90	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santo Domingo 2–3–1 Cumbaya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Cumbaya	3-3 HT 2-1	CD Vargas Torres
23/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Vargas Torres	0-0 HT 0-0	Cumbaya
30/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Vargas Torres	4-1 HT 0-1	Cumbaya
26/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Cumbaya	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Vargas Torres
22/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Cumbaya	2-1 HT 2-0	CD Vargas Torres
14/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Vargas Torres	4-0 HT 2-0	Cumbaya

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Vargas Torres	23	7	10	6	20	16	28
2	LDU Portoviejo	23	7	7	9	17	22	28
3	Cumbaya	23	5	12	6	22	22	27
4	Gualaceo SC	23	8	8	7	22	16	26
5	El Nacional	23	2	6	15	15	35	9
6	22 de Julio	23	4	3	16	10	34	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santo Domingo	Cumbaya
22 de Julio	3-0 W	4-0 W
Atletico FC Guayaquil	1-0 W	0-3 L
Club 9 de Octubre	0-0 D	0-0 D
LDU Portoviejo	0-1 L	0-0 D
CD Cuenca Jrs	0-1 L	0-0 D
San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 D	0-0 D
El Nacional	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cumbaya (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santo Domingo

DWDLLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
22/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-2	3-3	2	4	D
06/08	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
30/07	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
25/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
17/07	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
11/07	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
03/07	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/06	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

Cumbaya

LWWDDDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
20/08	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-3	0-3	5	3	L
13/08	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-1	3-3	3	4	D
08/08	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
30/07	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
22/07	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
16/07	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
08/07	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/07	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	4-0	9	4	W
10/06	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santo Domingo win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santo Domingo 41%, draw 32%, Cumbaya 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya?

The model expects 1.88 goals (Deportivo Santo Domingo 1.07 · Cumbaya 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs Cumbaya?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.