Prediction: Independiente Juniors vs CD Cuenca Jrs
Team pages: Independiente Juniors · CD Cuenca Jrs
- Independiente Juniors4-0CD Cuenca Jrs
- CD Cuenca Jrs2-1Independiente Juniors
| Independiente Juniors | Draw | CD Cuenca Jrs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Juniors (rating 1543 vs 1500).
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Juniors | CD Cuenca Jrs | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1.2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 5.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Juniors 1–0–1 CD Cuenca Jrs
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 4-0 HT 3-0 | CD Cuenca Jrs |
| 10/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Cuenca Jrs | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Independiente Juniors |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Club 9 de Octubre | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 35 |
| 5 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 17 | 34 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 32 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Juniors | CD Cuenca Jrs |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| 22 de Julio | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| LDU Portoviejo | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Juniors (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
CD Cuenca Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 03/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Juniors vs CD Cuenca Jrs?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Juniors win (48%). Probabilities: Independiente Juniors 48%, draw 29%, CD Cuenca Jrs 23%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Juniors vs CD Cuenca Jrs?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Independiente Juniors 1.33 · CD Cuenca Jrs 0.83), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Juniors vs CD Cuenca Jrs?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.